{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eac66c6d-4550-4f1f-b13c-0c1bc6c7924b", "symbol": "AIQ", "name": "Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.041, "architecture_energy": 26.686, "architecture_maturity": 67.471, "architecture_confidence": 94.665, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.44, "rotation_up": 19.29, "upward_expansion": 54.46, "deceleration": 91.13, "rotation_down": 45.13, "downward_expansion": 22.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 1038.133333, 1076.925823, 1075.913733, 1035.372439 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1065.0, "trend_reference": 985.296334, "distance_from_trend": 0.080893, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 836.112181, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273753, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.515408, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.231214, "excess_performance": 0.285881, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080893, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273753, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043456, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.095154, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014376, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231214, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.206976, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 233, "relative_activity": 0.133093, "balance": 2.206976, "dry_up": 0.599063, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068111, "annualized_volatility": 0.362238, "from_high_reference": -0.148, "from_low_reference": 0.306748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 985.296334, "fair_value_reference": 836.112181, "structural_low": 815.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.072292, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.03852, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.072292, "worst_return": 0.072292, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.037159, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.191647, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.037159, "worst_return": -0.037159, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.23618, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.131841, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.23618, "worst_return": 0.23618, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"energy": 24.982971, "activity_lines": [ 1080.032804, 1105.817134, 1074.57078, 1028.68689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 999.0, "volume": 518, "typical_volume": 2001.0, "trend": 981.337, "fair_value": 834.13901, "relative_strength": 2.941369, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.881047, "energy": 25.250705, "activity_lines": [ 1044.066667, 1084.516005, 1072.382733, 1029.974826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1065.0, "volume": 233, "typical_volume": 1750.65, "trend": 985.296334, "fair_value": 836.112181, "relative_strength": 9.515408, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.041036, "energy": 26.686455, "activity_lines": [ 1038.133333, 1076.925823, 1075.913733, 1035.372439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }