{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eac98bbb-e820-4162-9b6a-1869835f265a", "symbol": "002409", "name": "Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.188, "architecture_energy": 26.066, "architecture_maturity": 77.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.63, "rotation_up": 26.36, "upward_expansion": 58.71, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 31.66, "downward_expansion": 20.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 149.208, 159.363273, 142.376155, 128.702379 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 148.779999, "trend_reference": 113.628822, "distance_from_trend": 0.309351, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 69.610629, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.137317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 54.543697, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.549585, "excess_performance": 0.542186, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.309351, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.334562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.137317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.7348, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.545437, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.520916, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.549585, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.10022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 191695970, "relative_activity": 1.751399, "balance": 2.10022, "dry_up": 1.842768, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222989, "annualized_volatility": 0.825287, "from_high_reference": -0.350306, "from_low_reference": 1.740099 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 113.628822, "fair_value_reference": 69.610629, "structural_low": 76.030464, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.01467, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.01489, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.3797, "worst_return": -0.126625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052679, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04318, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.81307, "worst_return": -0.140185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.057222, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.116876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.609658, "worst_return": -0.32111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.538397, "energy": 66.75625, "activity_lines": [ 178.636001, 162.149088, 134.840474, 121.609532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 153.949997, "volume": 196091886, "typical_volume": 93670856.4, "trend": 109.132607, "fair_value": 68.7852, "relative_strength": 71.182374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.52996, "energy": 55.871413, "activity_lines": [ 170.590666, 163.429175, 138.424427, 124.682055 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 133.800003, "volume": 249237948, "typical_volume": 103229269.2, "trend": 111.132378, "fair_value": 69.115026, "relative_strength": 48.776995, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.240372, "energy": 32.456885, "activity_lines": [ 155.576, 160.194728, 139.793831, 126.2735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 148.779999, "volume": 191695970, "typical_volume": 109453064.95, "trend": 113.628822, "fair_value": 69.610629, "relative_strength": 54.543697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.18787, "energy": 26.065852, "activity_lines": [ 149.208, 159.363273, 142.376155, 128.702379 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }