{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eacce13e-f7dc-49fa-a64c-0b91d59c21de", "symbol": "601992", "name": "BBMG Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.446, "architecture_energy": 47.027, "architecture_maturity": 85.35, "architecture_confidence": 60.708, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.28, "rotation_up": 26.89, "upward_expansion": 19.95, "deceleration": 66.94, "rotation_down": 41.49, "downward_expansion": 67.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.391474, 1.388078, 1.471779, 1.562415 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.4, "trend_reference": 1.684831, "distance_from_trend": -0.169056, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.70208, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177477, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.534352, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.278351, "excess_performance": -0.235147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.169056, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.177477, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140176, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165344, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072155, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.278351, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.742205, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 235145620, "relative_activity": 0.851766, "balance": 0.742205, "dry_up": 0.890388, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071889, "annualized_volatility": 0.306578, "from_high_reference": -0.411765, "from_low_reference": 0.074885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.684831, "fair_value_reference": 1.70208, "structural_low": 1.302465, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.020325, "positive_rate": 0.290323, "directional_follow_through": 0.677419, "median_excess_return": -0.009978, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.235294, "worst_return": -0.198831, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.050926, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.019962, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.402985, "worst_return": -0.201246, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002448, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.004793, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.120639, "worst_return": -0.140613, "sufficient": true }, { 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.087317, "energy": 89.528023, "activity_lines": [ 1.365676, 1.449023, 1.557326, 1.645034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.350704, "volume": 276911925, "typical_volume": 314555043.8, "trend": 1.712164, "fair_value": 1.715191, "relative_strength": -16.759829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.854367, "energy": 86.984306, "activity_lines": [ 1.350296, 1.419256, 1.52804, 1.621027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.38, "volume": 273856789, "typical_volume": 301082246.7, "trend": 1.702498, "fair_value": 1.710936, "relative_strength": -15.760597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.534195, "energy": 72.761079, "activity_lines": [ 1.355967, 1.400985, 1.504874, 1.599597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.42, "volume": 197316817, "typical_volume": 288185921.8, "trend": 1.693831, "fair_value": 1.706877, "relative_strength": -13.329623, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.226352, "energy": 58.280407, "activity_lines": [ 1.380972, 1.393986, 1.488088, 1.581372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.4, "volume": 235145620, "typical_volume": 276068176.6, "trend": 1.684831, "fair_value": 1.70208, "relative_strength": -16.534352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.446123, "energy": 47.026826, "activity_lines": [ 1.391474, 1.388078, 1.471779, 1.562415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }