{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ead1896e-2ebc-4063-859d-d5f644a3db37", "symbol": "PFM", "name": "Platformo Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.052, "architecture_energy": 92.631, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.575, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.21, "rotation_up": 8.0, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 84.3, "downward_expansion": 97.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.019467, 0.021836, 0.024952, 0.027194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.019, "trend_reference": 0.029367, "distance_from_trend": -0.353008, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.091876, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.7932, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.654296, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.457143, "excess_performance": -0.520849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.353008, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028666, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.7932, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109989, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.446543, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099662, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.457143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17863, "relative_activity": 2.342228, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.653445, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05668, "annualized_volatility": 0.487963, "from_high_reference": -0.75, "from_low_reference": 0.055556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.029367, "fair_value_reference": 0.091876, "structural_low": 0.019, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.010417, "positive_rate": 0.257143, "directional_follow_through": 0.514286, "median_excess_return": -0.034564, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 1.83871, "worst_return": -0.322581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.120072, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.187187, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.55, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.192308, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.193987, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.470588, "worst_return": -0.7375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029412, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.171429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.192308, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.686957, "active": false }, 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"trend": 0.029567, "fair_value": 0.093421, "relative_strength": -47.156887, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.141916, "energy": 78.701091, "activity_lines": [ 0.024, 0.025455, 0.027824, 0.029226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.019, "volume": 28788, "typical_volume": 6733.35, "trend": 0.0295, "fair_value": 0.092902, "relative_strength": -45.31088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.750024, "energy": 98.703127, "activity_lines": [ 0.022, 0.024036, 0.02679, 0.028544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.019, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6733.35, "trend": 0.029433, "fair_value": 0.092395, "relative_strength": -44.771392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.712684, "energy": 89.141818, "activity_lines": [ 0.020467, 0.022836, 0.025833, 0.027867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.019, "volume": 17863, "typical_volume": 7626.5, "trend": 0.029367, "fair_value": 0.091876, "relative_strength": -44.654296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.051996, "energy": 92.631178, "activity_lines": [ 0.019467, 0.021836, 0.024952, 0.027194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }