{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ead26a71-2dd8-4d33-85e9-e94d86c933b9", "symbol": "CE8", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI World Ex Europe ETF-C EUR", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.069, "architecture_energy": 68.523, "architecture_maturity": 81.561, "architecture_confidence": 74.233, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.54, "rotation_up": 54.4, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.0, "rotation_down": 29.01, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 764.864009, 761.706245, 750.540865, 734.11278 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 780.450012, "trend_reference": 714.577045, "distance_from_trend": 0.092185, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 606.626594, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286541, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.374151, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152372, "excess_performance": 0.099061, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092185, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041481, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286541, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03852, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053742, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037835, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152372, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.679401, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 288, "relative_activity": 0.754618, "balance": 1.679401, "dry_up": 0.549587, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017118, "annualized_volatility": 0.11064, "from_high_reference": -0.001471, "from_low_reference": 0.238814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 714.577045, "fair_value_reference": 606.626594, "structural_low": 644.541016, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.013958, "positive_rate": 0.657895, "directional_follow_through": 0.657895, "median_excess_return": 0.004392, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.083124, "worst_return": -0.09597, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.032152, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.040172, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.110421, "worst_return": -0.17276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.076786, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.08039, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.166304, "worst_return": -0.076046, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": 61.372104, "energy": 60.397493, "activity_lines": [ 758.024674, 757.232381, 745.462475, 729.672103 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 780.450012, "volume": 288, "typical_volume": 381.65, "trend": 714.577045, "fair_value": 606.626594, "relative_strength": 5.374151, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.068621, "energy": 68.522612, "activity_lines": [ 764.864009, 761.706245, 750.540865, 734.11278 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }