{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ead3224a-db41-4a25-a84f-7b32cd75bf49",
    "symbol": "000568",
    "name": "Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.527,
    "architecture_energy": 29.922,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.403,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.03,
        "rotation_up": 32.31,
        "upward_expansion": 22.24,
        "deceleration": 47.0,
        "rotation_down": 23.23,
        "downward_expansion": 58.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        86.603333,
        83.665818,
        86.455285,
        91.170171
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 88.639999,
    "trend_reference": 98.048619,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.095959,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 132.207864,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329541,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.655896,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.266832,
    "excess_performance": -0.274232,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095959,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13075,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.329541,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020019,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.236559,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098528,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266832,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.644131,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 57004453,
      "relative_activity": 1.259824,
      "balance": 1.644131,
      "dry_up": 1.76304,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06381,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.265281,
      "from_high_reference": -0.385662,
      "from_low_reference": 0.197352
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 98.048619,
      "fair_value_reference": 132.207864,
      "structural_low": 74.029999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.008307,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.392857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002212,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.173989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
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        "worst_return": -0.25737,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.266832,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.28424,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 133.642173,
        "relative_strength": -27.179269,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 90.93,
        "volume": 77524181,
        "typical_volume": 44178819.3,
        "trend": 98.925604,
        "fair_value": 132.926574,
        "relative_strength": -18.329309,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.68877,
        "energy": 36.270771,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.639999,
        "volume": 57004453,
        "typical_volume": 45247953.9,
        "trend": 98.048619,
        "fair_value": 132.207864,
        "relative_strength": -23.655896,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.526997,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}