{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ead67a1d-3331-46b9-962d-63392c114616",
    "symbol": "IQV",
    "name": "IQVIA Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 84.976,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.02,
    "architecture_energy": 87.794,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.015,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.03,
        "rotation_up": 84.58,
        "upward_expansion": 98.13,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 8.86,
        "downward_expansion": 20.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        225.206667,
        212.853455,
        197.084381,
        190.133376
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 238.7,
    "trend_reference": 187.764,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.271277,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 203.316282,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.174033,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.861904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.273135,
    "excess_performance": 0.14751,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.271277,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038038,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174033,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30179,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078619,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.232415,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273135,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.636342,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6994286,
      "relative_activity": 0.920012,
      "balance": 1.636342,
      "dry_up": 1.009656,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077099,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.461659,
      "from_high_reference": -0.050366,
      "from_low_reference": 0.544984
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 187.764,
      "fair_value_reference": 203.316282,
      "structural_low": 154.5,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.054429,
        "positive_rate": 0.266667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.266667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044106,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.148424,
        "worst_return": -0.099312,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.048153,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037249,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.114635,
        "worst_return": -0.078435,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.013463,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.113941,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.181453,
        "worst_return": -0.12351,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.012728,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.149444,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.327143,
        "worst_return": -0.242599,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.161845,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03213,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.063814,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.078791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.193341,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.229302,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
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        "return": 0.104655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 8250557.35,
        "trend": 188.676,
        "fair_value": 203.336474,
        "relative_strength": -3.636003,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.630317,
        "energy": 51.262247,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 206.26,
        "volume": 5871060,
        "typical_volume": 7654024.75,
        "trend": 188.195,
        "fair_value": 203.195449,
        "relative_strength": -2.995265,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.862017,
        "energy": 62.805897,
        "activity_lines": [
          202.258,
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          183.510429,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 208.05,
        "volume": 5312632,
        "typical_volume": 7468091.1,
        "trend": 187.566,
        "fair_value": 203.079423,
        "relative_strength": -1.347154,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.779152,
        "energy": 65.250276,
        "activity_lines": [
          206.270667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 235.02,
        "volume": 12525192,
        "typical_volume": 7694395.2,
        "trend": 187.887667,
        "fair_value": 203.195385,
        "relative_strength": 10.100277,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.95364,
        "energy": 73.583878,
        "activity_lines": [
          216.588,
          205.276182,
          191.746333,
          186.855161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 238.7,
        "volume": 6994286,
        "typical_volume": 7602386.9,
        "trend": 187.764,
        "fair_value": 203.316282,
        "relative_strength": 7.861904,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.020361,
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        "activity_lines": [
          225.206667,
          212.853455,
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          190.133376
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}