{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ead6db46-598e-4337-a446-41a4d91b4990", "symbol": "HEMIPROP", "name": "Hemisphere Properties India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.914, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.537, "architecture_energy": 15.005, "architecture_maturity": 20.663, "architecture_confidence": 86.687, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.3, "rotation_up": 20.34, "upward_expansion": 38.15, "deceleration": 76.38, "rotation_down": 39.57, "downward_expansion": 38.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 136.058664, 137.517089, 138.273761, 137.090215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 138.039993, "trend_reference": 135.840333, "distance_from_trend": 0.016193, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 156.989616, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.120706, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.011966, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.050213, "excess_performance": 0.093922, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016193, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002852, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.120706, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123248, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01012, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154301, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050213, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.280551, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2835231, "relative_activity": 0.923093, "balance": 0.280551, "dry_up": 0.513197, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048252, "annualized_volatility": 0.401848, "from_high_reference": -0.276103, "from_low_reference": 0.241367 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 135.840333, "fair_value_reference": 156.989616, "structural_low": 111.199997, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.031067, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.021993, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.247932, "worst_return": -0.153156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003763, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008536, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.184777, "worst_return": -0.118439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.042295, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.034314, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.081663, 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"Developing", "return": -0.088324, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.30163, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.005399, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.195915, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.061667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061753, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": 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135.992, "fair_value": 156.66968, "relative_strength": -0.921476, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.19979, "energy": 10.202207, "activity_lines": [ 137.185996, 138.606907, 138.226047, 137.058172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 134.320007, "volume": 766177, "typical_volume": 3155889.8, "trend": 135.871333, "fair_value": 156.820128, "relative_strength": -2.873326, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.738842, "energy": 15.052216, "activity_lines": [ 135.827999, 137.637999, 138.07519, 136.950301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 138.039993, "volume": 2835231, "typical_volume": 3071445.5, "trend": 135.840333, "fair_value": 156.989616, "relative_strength": -1.011966, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.537032, "energy": 15.004951, "activity_lines": [ 136.058664, 137.517089, 138.273761, 137.090215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }