{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ead9bbe5-f4b8-4452-9468-cecb8f633aed", "symbol": "BBL", "name": "Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.001, "architecture_energy": 65.71, "architecture_maturity": 56.421, "architecture_confidence": 82.839, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 67.14, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 67.83, "rotation_down": 17.41, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 194.133333, 190.918182, 181.957043, 176.057169 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 194.5, "trend_reference": 168.999303, "distance_from_trend": 0.150892, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 140.581517, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.383539, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.912821, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.30099, "excess_performance": 0.108665, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.150892, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065029, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.383539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192376, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049128, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106838, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.30099, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.657682, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57319200, "relative_activity": 1.350047, "balance": 2.657682, "dry_up": 1.907669, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038758, "annualized_volatility": 0.221402, "from_high_reference": -0.046569, "from_low_reference": 0.389493 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 168.999303, "fair_value_reference": 140.581517, "structural_low": 151.405963, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.00319, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.011373, "regime_survival": 0.735294, "best_return": 0.154286, "worst_return": -0.092814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.055358, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.04454, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.16996, "worst_return": -0.139707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.069071, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.036841, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.145522, "worst_return": -0.181009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 191.0, "volume": 151922900, "typical_volume": 41147443.35, "trend": 166.972289, "fair_value": 139.951855, "relative_strength": 1.326529, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.362022, "energy": 87.324305, "activity_lines": [ 194.233333, 187.390909, 177.917825, 172.763476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 191.5, "volume": 53844700, "typical_volume": 41460498.35, "trend": 167.975472, "fair_value": 140.271925, "relative_strength": 2.682324, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.652046, "energy": 74.901219, "activity_lines": [ 194.2, 189.090909, 179.870767, 174.345909 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 194.5, "volume": 57319200, "typical_volume": 42457183.35, "trend": 168.999303, "fair_value": 140.581517, "relative_strength": 4.912821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.000853, "energy": 65.710387, "activity_lines": [ 194.133333, 190.918182, 181.957043, 176.057169 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }