{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eae99049-ddcb-472e-9b80-cf50f77d1b08", "symbol": "NDTV", "name": "New Delhi Television Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.89, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.439, "architecture_energy": 22.494, "architecture_maturity": 24.561, "architecture_confidence": 58.898, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.24, "rotation_up": 21.39, "upward_expansion": 11.38, "deceleration": 50.16, "rotation_down": 51.97, "downward_expansion": 46.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.743335, 79.194547, 79.651096, 79.088796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 76.870003, "trend_reference": 79.412667, "distance_from_trend": -0.032018, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 158.64785, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.515468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.871574, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.110301, "excess_performance": -0.066592, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032018, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.515468, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017445, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.138716, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.110301, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.41727, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 417042, "relative_activity": 0.233575, "balance": 2.41727, "dry_up": 0.386683, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078034, "annualized_volatility": 0.33481, "from_high_reference": -0.495934, "from_low_reference": 0.308426 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.412667, "fair_value_reference": 158.64785, "structural_low": 58.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.042504, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.043512, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.024994, "worst_return": -0.062386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.042956, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.059597, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.306512, "worst_return": -0.179502, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.010017, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.099305, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.25039, "worst_return": -0.270423, "sufficient": false 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"regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128473, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041004, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.108414, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.13957, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.37144, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-11", 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76.660004, "volume": 908024, "typical_volume": 1846786.2, "trend": 80.573667, "fair_value": 160.539068, "relative_strength": -13.297309, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.010323, "energy": 7.302637, "activity_lines": [ 79.766669, 80.624365, 79.894287, 79.502001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 77.099998, "volume": 370580, "typical_volume": 1823450.3, "trend": 79.801, "fair_value": 159.585221, "relative_strength": -13.949884, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.481066, "energy": 10.410512, "activity_lines": [ 78.660668, 79.933819, 79.785239, 79.277893 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.870003, "volume": 417042, "typical_volume": 1785471.35, "trend": 79.412667, "fair_value": 158.64785, "relative_strength": -13.871574, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.439433, "energy": 22.494066, "activity_lines": [ 77.743335, 79.194547, 79.651096, 79.088796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }