{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eaed13ef-27c7-4431-990a-1e8881c8e97c", "symbol": "BOS", "name": "AirBoss of America Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.665, "architecture_energy": 14.064, "architecture_maturity": 35.741, "architecture_confidence": 58.726, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.53, "rotation_up": 38.26, "upward_expansion": 58.74, "deceleration": 62.43, "rotation_down": 19.04, "downward_expansion": 13.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.055333, 6.986524, 7.059996, 6.979806 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.03, "trend_reference": 6.625457, "distance_from_trend": 0.061059, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.889745, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.437703, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.937088, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.461989, "excess_performance": 0.341567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061059, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148039, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.437703, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.079371, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.288456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.461989, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.607537, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81500, "relative_activity": 0.774531, "balance": 0.607537, "dry_up": 0.885721, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108069, "annualized_volatility": 0.56505, "from_high_reference": -0.302579, "from_low_reference": 0.838797 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.625457, "fair_value_reference": 4.889745, "structural_low": 4.788608, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.027, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.038435, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.131077, "worst_return": -0.242424, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.068593, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.16112, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.043463, "worst_return": -0.367224, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.245256, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.204457, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.537552, "worst_return": -0.593242, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"activity_lines": [ 6.919935, 6.969461, 7.099639, 6.826908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.61, "volume": 77800, "typical_volume": 107445.0, "trend": 6.374574, "fair_value": 4.839519, "relative_strength": 5.402188, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.246892, "energy": 6.995371, "activity_lines": [ 6.819663, 6.880251, 7.054954, 6.846624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.2, "volume": 129800, "typical_volume": 104700.0, "trend": 6.468037, "fair_value": 4.85656, "relative_strength": 14.136304, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.425759, "energy": 13.605422, "activity_lines": [ 6.937017, 6.923926, 7.063903, 6.899877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.23, "volume": 83700, "typical_volume": 104365.0, "trend": 6.553067, "fair_value": 4.873505, "relative_strength": 14.707673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.275708, "energy": 15.940995, "activity_lines": [ 7.045333, 6.975643, 7.073422, 6.949036 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.03, "volume": 81500, "typical_volume": 105225.0, "trend": 6.625457, "fair_value": 4.889745, "relative_strength": 7.937088, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.664969, "energy": 14.063924, "activity_lines": [ 7.055333, 6.986524, 7.059996, 6.979806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }