{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eaf22021-6cbf-426d-abd5-ee4efbb2e69e",
    "symbol": "TPG",
    "name": "TPG Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 95.859,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 48.061,
    "architecture_energy": 44.428,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.84,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.47,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.87,
        "rotation_up": 64.75,
        "upward_expansion": 49.06,
        "deceleration": 28.62,
        "rotation_down": 17.28,
        "downward_expansion": 18.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.215333,
        43.762727,
        42.974601,
        42.889038
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 48.99,
    "trend_reference": 44.617456,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098001,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 46.556635,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.052267,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -15.793284,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.085196,
    "excess_performance": -0.27265,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098001,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114449,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052267,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076076,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157933,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085196,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.135708,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20769683,
      "relative_activity": 1.708895,
      "balance": 1.135708,
      "dry_up": 0.999252,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075636,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.398701,
      "from_high_reference": -0.284846,
      "from_low_reference": 0.343791
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.617456,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.556635,
      "structural_low": 36.456553,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.109704,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043167,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.31453,
        "worst_return": -0.047319,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.336391,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.256892,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.413706,
        "worst_return": 0.276963,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.436647,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.335508,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.673519,
        "worst_return": 0.300981,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.40766,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034375,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.945805,
        "worst_return": -0.130486,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060314,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.439944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.152826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.100801,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.096733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "return": 0.227831,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.233756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-02-20",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.028363,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.120027,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 46.074744,
        "relative_strength": -29.244342,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 22.734488,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 7665235,
        "typical_volume": 13264106.55,
        "trend": 46.525091,
        "fair_value": 46.181763,
        "relative_strength": -23.73863,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.300234,
        "energy": 12.00458,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.34,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 42.83,
        "volume": 7965706,
        "typical_volume": 12797413.4,
        "trend": 45.829282,
        "fair_value": 46.286615,
        "relative_strength": -23.463882,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.372117,
        "energy": 8.960138,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.644667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.66,
        "volume": 12178468,
        "typical_volume": 12125357.4,
        "trend": 45.151407,
        "fair_value": 46.397689,
        "relative_strength": -21.79374,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.100003,
        "energy": 10.270707,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.174,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.99,
        "volume": 20769683,
        "typical_volume": 12153864.65,
        "trend": 44.617456,
        "fair_value": 46.556635,
        "relative_strength": -15.793284,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.060647,
        "energy": 44.427701,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.215333,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}