{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eafc7fbd-d7b7-4f34-8830-3b3a7a98dcba",
    "symbol": "THR",
    "name": "Thor Energy Plc",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -58.321,
    "architecture_energy": 41.362,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.815,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.03,
        "rotation_up": 17.81,
        "upward_expansion": 6.02,
        "deceleration": 45.89,
        "rotation_down": 55.05,
        "downward_expansion": 79.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0092,
        0.009418,
        0.0099,
        0.01024
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.009,
    "trend_reference": 0.010717,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.160187,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.016417,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.451777,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.084279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.25,
    "excess_performance": -0.313706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160187,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053019,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.451777,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.176395,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220843,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.503581,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.206029,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 239128,
      "relative_activity": 0.089036,
      "balance": 0.206029,
      "dry_up": 0.669968,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.15812,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.729261,
      "from_high_reference": -0.666667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.285714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.010717,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.016417,
      "structural_low": 0.007,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": -0.066667,
        "positive_rate": 0.276596,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.510638,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063084,
        "regime_survival": 0.87234,
        "best_return": 0.3,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.118182,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155518,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.311741,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.337156,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.222222,
        "worst_return": -0.441176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.5,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.587369,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.625,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-06-24",
        "end": "2023-06-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.4,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 752259,
        "typical_volume": 2638361.8,
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        "relative_strength": -8.809313,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.647121,
        "energy": 30.082579,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0098,
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          0.010333,
          0.010602
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 6067352,
        "typical_volume": 2850302.8,
        "trend": 0.010883,
        "fair_value": 0.016878,
        "relative_strength": -17.830538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.451075,
        "energy": 34.722725,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.009533,
          0.009691,
          0.010181,
          0.010476
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 138722,
        "typical_volume": 2793070.7,
        "trend": 0.010783,
        "fair_value": 0.016615,
        "relative_strength": -19.657348,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.870518,
        "energy": 33.564775,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.009333,
          0.009545,
          0.010038,
          0.010355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 239128,
        "typical_volume": 2685748.85,
        "trend": 0.010717,
        "fair_value": 0.016417,
        "relative_strength": -22.084279,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.320579,
        "energy": 41.362081,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0092,
          0.009418,
          0.0099,
          0.01024
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}