{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eaff9300-7420-42cf-9d89-d8c98753c295",
    "symbol": "HDSN",
    "name": "Hudson Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -19.272,
    "architecture_energy": 12.591,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.443,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.241,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.12,
        "rotation_up": 31.95,
        "upward_expansion": 31.93,
        "deceleration": 35.83,
        "rotation_down": 28.56,
        "downward_expansion": 46.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.996333,
        5.994,
        5.837952,
        5.91772
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.595,
    "trend_reference": 6.1725,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.09356,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.495897,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.341447,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -32.138535,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.244939,
    "excess_performance": -0.432393,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09356,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055133,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.341447,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061917,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.321385,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115409,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.244939,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.569471,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3260642,
      "relative_activity": 1.441256,
      "balance": 1.569471,
      "dry_up": 1.038905,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.096578,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.437658,
      "from_high_reference": -0.468156,
      "from_low_reference": 0.205819
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.1725,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.495897,
      "structural_low": 4.64,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.091042,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03879,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.538462,
        "worst_return": -0.132558,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.258537,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.161293,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.766197,
        "worst_return": -0.133721,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.370644,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.261252,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.228169,
        "worst_return": -0.249169,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.008448,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.271861,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.8,
        "worst_return": -0.055285,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-07-28",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.164246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.071207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.232558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.209208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.094791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.410906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.271545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.242938,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.150355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132558,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.17,
        "volume": 2114578,
        "typical_volume": 2242032.55,
        "trend": 6.271667,
        "fair_value": 8.571571,
        "relative_strength": -25.157626,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.363196,
        "energy": 16.584563,
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          6.108,
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          5.785857,
          5.967441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.34,
        "volume": 1763234,
        "typical_volume": 2215919.0,
        "trend": 6.249667,
        "fair_value": 8.55484,
        "relative_strength": -21.099205,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.232163,
        "energy": 22.985422,
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          6.218,
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          5.837286,
          5.971849
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.04,
        "volume": 2263064,
        "typical_volume": 2195917.0,
        "trend": 6.224333,
        "fair_value": 8.525929,
        "relative_strength": -24.18494,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -0.298644,
        "energy": 17.872301,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.197333,
          6.047455,
          5.859476,
          5.958323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.595,
        "volume": 3260642,
        "typical_volume": 2262361.65,
        "trend": 6.1725,
        "fair_value": 8.495897,
        "relative_strength": -32.138535,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.271546,
        "energy": 12.59131,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.996333,
          5.994,
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          5.91772
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}