{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb07e39b-3e0d-4091-9764-4a7921031fec", "symbol": "HAZ", "name": "Global X Active Global Dividend ETF Common", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.068, "architecture_energy": 66.943, "architecture_maturity": 72.417, "architecture_confidence": 67.443, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 55.63, "upward_expansion": 82.93, "deceleration": 70.9, "rotation_down": 26.86, "downward_expansion": 11.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.297334, 46.052304, 45.370395, 44.602862 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.860001, "trend_reference": 43.641637, "distance_from_trend": 0.073745, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.122459, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.262309, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.630445, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.11419, "excess_performance": -0.006231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073745, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037846, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.262309, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035893, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016304, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026867, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11419, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.34662, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23600, "relative_activity": 0.711916, "balance": 2.34662, "dry_up": 1.022624, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016531, "annualized_volatility": 0.106399, "from_high_reference": -0.007203, "from_low_reference": 0.223827 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.641637, "fair_value_reference": 37.122459, "structural_low": 40.560747, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": 0.013521, "positive_rate": 0.708333, "directional_follow_through": 0.708333, "median_excess_return": 0.000116, "regime_survival": 0.854167, "best_return": 0.062207, "worst_return": -0.068557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.038997, "positive_rate": 0.866667, "directional_follow_through": 0.866667, "median_excess_return": 0.017269, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.106343, "worst_return": -0.030302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.090875, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.018138, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.135066, "worst_return": -0.116679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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45.585236, 44.740587, 44.027988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.950001, "volume": 35100, "typical_volume": 34450.0, "trend": 43.292263, "fair_value": 36.888143, "relative_strength": -1.090788, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.920149, "energy": 76.339266, "activity_lines": [ 46.025375, 45.713065, 44.942703, 44.210616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.98, "volume": 35000, "typical_volume": 34175.0, "trend": 43.467916, "fair_value": 37.003532, "relative_strength": -0.474332, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.775485, "energy": 63.569564, "activity_lines": [ 46.04, 45.813308, 45.125623, 44.384018 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.860001, "volume": 23600, "typical_volume": 33150.0, "trend": 43.641637, "fair_value": 37.122459, "relative_strength": -1.630445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.06776, "energy": 66.943231, "activity_lines": [ 46.297334, 46.052304, 45.370395, 44.602862 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }