{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb144c83-8b10-4e5c-87c2-ebfb6a9a1fa5", "symbol": "BOHRAIND", "name": "Bohra Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.651, "architecture_energy": 53.107, "architecture_maturity": 42.403, "architecture_confidence": 87.158, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.28, "rotation_up": 16.21, "upward_expansion": 8.11, "deceleration": 59.21, "rotation_down": 63.62, "downward_expansion": 81.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.77, 14.139818, 15.624905, 16.31043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.85, "trend_reference": 17.036, "distance_from_trend": -0.187016, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.910513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.420757, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.609931, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.286818, "excess_performance": -0.243109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.187016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071135, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.420757, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114608, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.266099, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173815, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.286818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.505198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75170, "relative_activity": 1.740564, "balance": 0.505198, "dry_up": 2.0934, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123355, "annualized_volatility": 0.409107, "from_high_reference": -0.610736, "from_low_reference": 0.152246 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.036, "fair_value_reference": 23.910513, "structural_low": 12.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.044179, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.055591, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 1.620402, "worst_return": -0.357278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.1432, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.19, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.873699, "worst_return": -0.472906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.292412, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.214252, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.400416, "worst_return": -0.571106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.192889, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.139173, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.264805, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.209774, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143373, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", 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33970.3, "trend": 17.343333, "fair_value": 24.79359, "relative_strength": -32.314723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.49133, "energy": 90.803767, "activity_lines": [ 13.994667, 15.245091, 16.505905, 16.986323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.62, "volume": 155541, "typical_volume": 41580.55, "trend": 17.176333, "fair_value": 24.472885, "relative_strength": -33.376474, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.501925, "energy": 91.833065, "activity_lines": [ 13.399333, 14.565818, 16.082238, 16.681592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.67, "volume": 89208, "typical_volume": 40937.35, "trend": 17.096667, "fair_value": 24.175897, "relative_strength": -23.166929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.724808, "energy": 65.328916, "activity_lines": [ 13.718667, 14.386182, 15.885143, 16.519893 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.85, "volume": 75170, "typical_volume": 43187.15, "trend": 17.036, "fair_value": 23.910513, "relative_strength": -26.609931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.65072, "energy": 53.106514, "activity_lines": [ 13.77, 14.139818, 15.624905, 16.31043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }