{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eb1ac3e9-8d93-40d3-9001-f4ca4c6c9130",
    "symbol": "2421",
    "name": "Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 78.08,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 11.697,
    "architecture_energy": 5.238,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.812,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.648,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.34,
        "rotation_up": 32.31,
        "upward_expansion": 27.85,
        "deceleration": 46.74,
        "rotation_down": 36.5,
        "downward_expansion": 29.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        141.066667,
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        141.870837,
        141.14904
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 146.0,
    "trend_reference": 140.944318,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.03587,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 112.278783,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300335,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -26.828962,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.026829,
    "excess_performance": -0.414543,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03587,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042176,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300335,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042381,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.26829,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029598,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026829,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.738739,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12931513,
      "relative_activity": 0.631225,
      "balance": 2.738739,
      "dry_up": 0.65061,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.105715,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.504706,
      "from_high_reference": -0.225929,
      "from_low_reference": 0.257865
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 140.944318,
      "fair_value_reference": 112.278783,
      "structural_low": 118.487801,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.008036,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029429,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
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        "worst_return": -0.229906,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.224501,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.006802,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 111.662009,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 130.0,
        "volume": 7039447,
        "typical_volume": 24294201.7,
        "trend": 142.007976,
        "fair_value": 111.910203,
        "relative_strength": -33.120443,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.652991,
        "energy": 40.792167,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 131.0,
        "volume": 9625327,
        "typical_volume": 23154503.8,
        "trend": 141.183749,
        "fair_value": 111.953346,
        "relative_strength": -31.289134,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.664826,
        "energy": 45.638191,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.666667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 151.5,
        "volume": 23718270,
        "typical_volume": 21062636.0,
        "trend": 141.123459,
        "fair_value": 112.087345,
        "relative_strength": -22.076462,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -3.58906,
        "energy": 11.852508,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.866667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 146.0,
        "volume": 12931513,
        "typical_volume": 20486383.85,
        "trend": 140.944318,
        "fair_value": 112.278783,
        "relative_strength": -26.828962,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.697093,
        "energy": 5.237973,
        "activity_lines": [
          141.066667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}