{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb1b836d-05e1-4afa-8b09-8d0d0f446211", "symbol": "VUAG", "name": "Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.553, "architecture_energy": 53.334, "architecture_maturity": 86.788, "architecture_confidence": 65.095, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.61, "rotation_up": 47.54, "upward_expansion": 79.2, "deceleration": 71.31, "rotation_down": 29.01, "downward_expansion": 8.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 108.572001, 108.361819, 107.321762, 105.185549 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 111.059998, "trend_reference": 102.618334, "distance_from_trend": 0.082263, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.359199, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286024, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.65821, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.140012, "excess_performance": 0.088777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082263, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033839, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286024, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022295, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026582, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015914, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.140012, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.448356, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1771680, "relative_activity": 1.289973, "balance": 1.448356, "dry_up": 1.150474, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020292, "annualized_volatility": 0.1228, "from_high_reference": -0.006441, "from_low_reference": 0.23222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.618334, "fair_value_reference": 86.359199, "structural_low": 92.650002, 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1328595.3, "trend": 101.617667, "fair_value": 85.545898, "relative_strength": 2.052179, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.524164, "energy": 57.675063, "activity_lines": [ 108.12, 108.109455, 105.993953, 103.915312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.760002, "volume": 1287354, "typical_volume": 1327404.8, "trend": 101.935, "fair_value": 85.809167, "relative_strength": 1.159167, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.230677, "energy": 49.94319, "activity_lines": [ 107.928001, 108.057091, 106.411572, 104.311592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.660004, "volume": 1785868, "typical_volume": 1350512.5, "trend": 102.238667, "fair_value": 86.067981, "relative_strength": -1.067896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.991296, "energy": 39.148096, "activity_lines": [ 107.480002, 107.801456, 106.680667, 104.616431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.059998, "volume": 1771680, "typical_volume": 1373423.65, "trend": 102.618334, "fair_value": 86.359199, "relative_strength": 2.65821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.553135, "energy": 53.333991, "activity_lines": [ 108.572001, 108.361819, 107.321762, 105.185549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }