{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb1bd0a9-ea4c-42cb-8433-e5b30e4310e6", "symbol": "XDPE", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 UCITS ETF 1C - EUR Hedged", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.425, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.077, "architecture_energy": 57.83, "architecture_maturity": 61.547, "architecture_confidence": 68.685, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.04, "rotation_up": 52.08, "upward_expansion": 79.56, "deceleration": 69.06, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 8.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.323667, 104.827091, 103.970848, 102.068267 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 108.055, "trend_reference": 99.968233, "distance_from_trend": 0.080893, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.882573, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.28817, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.376371, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.114889, "excess_performance": 0.050249, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080893, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030205, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.28817, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005589, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023764, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07081, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.114889, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.496832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9961, "relative_activity": 0.326887, "balance": 1.496832, "dry_up": 0.629875, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0192, "annualized_volatility": 0.131057, "from_high_reference": -0.003642, "from_low_reference": 0.213201 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.968233, "fair_value_reference": 83.882573, "structural_low": 89.066002, 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100.173453 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 105.32, "volume": 24908, "typical_volume": 39229.35, "trend": 98.884233, "fair_value": 82.868663, "relative_strength": 5.569928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.044734, "energy": 57.534935, "activity_lines": [ 104.454333, 104.448636, 102.28488, 100.609043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 104.18, "volume": 27563, "typical_volume": 36766.15, "trend": 99.153233, "fair_value": 83.115278, "relative_strength": 5.154428, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.20095, "energy": 53.612286, "activity_lines": [ 104.43, 104.41809, 102.697609, 100.950705 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.800003, "volume": 16587, "typical_volume": 35998.75, "trend": 99.3795, "fair_value": 83.356419, "relative_strength": 3.449272, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.729122, "energy": 47.781651, "activity_lines": [ 104.258667, 104.300727, 103.037624, 101.250497 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.625, "volume": 22664, "typical_volume": 34071.35, "trend": 99.625067, "fair_value": 83.602092, "relative_strength": 1.004634, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.447532, "energy": 39.540128, "activity_lines": [ 104.077334, 104.151818, 103.317857, 101.5244 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.055, "volume": 9961, "typical_volume": 30472.3, "trend": 99.968233, "fair_value": 83.882573, "relative_strength": 2.376371, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.0773, "energy": 57.82974, "activity_lines": [ 105.323667, 104.827091, 103.970848, 102.068267 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }