{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb43af7a-5c33-45fa-86c8-da3c8c1c5a91", "symbol": "XONE", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG ONE YR TRGT DURTN US TRSRY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.385, "architecture_energy": 65.315, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 67.589, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.35, "rotation_up": 63.81, "upward_expansion": 82.5, "deceleration": 52.19, "rotation_down": 16.57, "downward_expansion": 11.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.209264, 49.185295, 49.157869, 49.121313 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 49.29, "trend_reference": 49.059119, "distance_from_trend": 0.004706, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.765093, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053991, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.036882, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.007798, "excess_performance": -0.117827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004706, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003884, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.053991, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006739, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100369, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000572, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007798, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.075997, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 597443, "relative_activity": 0.995245, "balance": 1.075997, "dry_up": 1.499138, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.001499, "annualized_volatility": 0.007495, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.029536 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.059119, "fair_value_reference": 46.765093, "structural_low": 48.898723, 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"direction": 80.196269, "energy": 73.021248, "activity_lines": [ 49.187128, 49.152164, 49.111991, 49.056539 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 49.112576, "volume": 301392, "typical_volume": 526055.45, "trend": 48.979993, "fair_value": 46.579263, "relative_strength": -8.335938, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.954472, "energy": 49.856823, "activity_lines": [ 49.166898, 49.148569, 49.116067, 49.066246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.112576, "volume": 397572, "typical_volume": 533034.9, "trend": 48.996239, "fair_value": 46.61638, "relative_strength": -9.274069, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.180004, "energy": 38.933062, "activity_lines": [ 49.148626, 49.145977, 49.119382, 49.0748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.152449, "volume": 480620, "typical_volume": 516155.45, "trend": 49.011852, "fair_value": 46.653584, "relative_strength": -7.509793, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.452097, "energy": 30.947524, "activity_lines": [ 49.145055, 49.149541, 49.125735, 49.084878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.147465, "volume": 1696036, "typical_volume": 567983.5, "trend": 49.026482, "fair_value": 46.690673, "relative_strength": -6.741927, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.720887, "energy": 21.03493, "activity_lines": [ 49.142564, 49.150924, 49.130899, 49.093627 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.207273, "volume": 825615, "typical_volume": 586919.95, "trend": 49.041668, "fair_value": 46.727646, "relative_strength": -7.341786, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.424722, "energy": 34.569045, "activity_lines": [ 49.16142, 49.161635, 49.141025, 49.105291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.29, "volume": 597443, "typical_volume": 600297.45, "trend": 49.059119, "fair_value": 46.765093, "relative_strength": -10.036882, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.385064, "energy": 65.314606, "activity_lines": [ 49.209264, 49.185295, 49.157869, 49.121313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }