{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb514430-c013-45b8-aff5-9ee1d78f764f", "symbol": "USAUSY", "name": "UBS Core MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.016, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.954, "architecture_energy": 70.434, "architecture_maturity": 68.578, "architecture_confidence": 74.827, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.79, "rotation_up": 55.88, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 68.42, "rotation_down": 28.87, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 183.999999, 183.097819, 181.354096, 177.721304 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 189.039993, "trend_reference": 173.528283, "distance_from_trend": 0.08939, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 142.205204, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.329347, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.984183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.151338, "excess_performance": 0.068455, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08939, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034497, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.329347, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007644, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009842, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069387, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.151338, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.344471, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2634, "relative_activity": 0.23198, "balance": 4.344471, "dry_up": 0.459974, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014372, "annualized_volatility": 0.131697, "from_high_reference": -0.001374, "from_low_reference": 0.225777 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 173.528283, "fair_value_reference": 142.205204, "structural_low": 154.779999, 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58.053578, "activity_lines": [ 182.136005, 182.138913, 179.611812, 176.142315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 180.699997, "volume": 2048, "typical_volume": 13076.1, "trend": 172.853909, "fair_value": 141.666143, "relative_strength": -2.134629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.388562, "energy": 52.069569, "activity_lines": [ 181.714669, 181.849821, 180.128954, 176.67704 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 189.039993, "volume": 2634, "typical_volume": 11354.45, "trend": 173.528283, "fair_value": 142.205204, "relative_strength": 0.984183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.953511, "energy": 70.434205, "activity_lines": [ 183.999999, 183.097819, 181.354096, 177.721304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }