{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb52526c-9220-4b6d-b817-74e9c48a86b2", "symbol": "JSTC", "name": "TIDAL ETF TRUST ADASINA SOCIAL JUSTICE ALL CAP GBL ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.199, "architecture_energy": 43.689, "architecture_maturity": 58.76, "architecture_confidence": 68.402, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.99, "rotation_up": 49.75, "upward_expansion": 78.99, "deceleration": 65.97, "rotation_down": 25.56, "downward_expansion": 5.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.692727, 22.606932, 22.264215, 21.808976 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.152, "trend_reference": 21.329592, "distance_from_trend": 0.08544, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.553582, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247845, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.781299, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.109078, "excess_performance": -0.016547, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08544, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038151, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247845, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03234, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0241, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109078, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.451093, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39383, "relative_activity": 0.314431, "balance": 1.451093, "dry_up": 1.444552, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036827, "annualized_volatility": 0.145454, "from_high_reference": -0.018983, "from_low_reference": 0.224974 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.329592, "fair_value_reference": 18.553582, "structural_low": 18.9, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.014042, "positive_rate": 0.678571, "directional_follow_through": 0.678571, "median_excess_return": -0.007656, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.056222, "worst_return": -0.075059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.008125, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032466, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.080496, "worst_return": -0.022797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.052247, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.059736, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.09416, "worst_return": 0.032048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -0.021978, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.552288, "energy": 47.547821, "activity_lines": [ 22.561923, 22.443273, 21.915942, 21.524341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.257, "volume": 265378, "typical_volume": 114641.2, "trend": 21.178259, "fair_value": 18.460527, "relative_strength": -0.338842, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.607994, "energy": 40.75832, "activity_lines": [ 22.459964, 22.440595, 22.00589, 21.597815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.5488, "volume": 318155, "typical_volume": 128108.95, "trend": 21.249552, "fair_value": 18.505006, "relative_strength": -0.053514, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.78268, "energy": 37.736686, "activity_lines": [ 22.47916, 22.473801, 22.113309, 21.686237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.152, "volume": 39383, "typical_volume": 125251.6, "trend": 21.329592, "fair_value": 18.553582, "relative_strength": -0.781299, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.198593, "energy": 43.688783, "activity_lines": [ 22.692727, 22.606932, 22.264215, 21.808976 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }