{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb554927-291d-4b3e-9c70-0a72e4ad8769", "symbol": "MMM", "name": "3M Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.178, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.929, "architecture_energy": 87.27, "architecture_maturity": 15.173, "architecture_confidence": 76.552, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.9, "rotation_up": 76.74, "upward_expansion": 90.72, "deceleration": 47.59, "rotation_down": 8.82, "downward_expansion": 19.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 174.312, 168.562182, 161.28185, 158.36644 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 182.9, "trend_reference": 157.040506, "distance_from_trend": 0.164668, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 126.682978, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.443761, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.158394, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069623, "excess_performance": -0.056002, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.164668, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.443761, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.253712, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.031584, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.210531, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069623, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.208022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13436182, "relative_activity": 0.752772, "balance": 8.208022, "dry_up": 1.086616, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047692, "annualized_volatility": 0.246584, "from_high_reference": -0.01079, "from_low_reference": 0.319333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.040506, "fair_value_reference": 126.682978, "structural_low": 138.630659, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.022331, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": 2.9e-05, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.244349, "worst_return": -0.14077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.044708, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.008805, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.302051, "worst_return": -0.079852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.118605, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.032188, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.274683, "worst_return": -0.041807, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.221879, "energy": 42.998319, "activity_lines": [ 160.060667, 157.772942, 153.420152, 153.95145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 159.84, "volume": 14998204, "typical_volume": 18304139.6, "trend": 155.462196, "fair_value": 124.861251, "relative_strength": -6.2031, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.337285, "energy": 25.036966, "activity_lines": [ 159.948, 158.684648, 154.202904, 154.232669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 172.62, "volume": 28499728, "typical_volume": 18660262.3, "trend": 155.865323, "fair_value": 125.416192, "relative_strength": 1.911346, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.333595, "energy": 45.911858, "activity_lines": [ 163.994, 161.605818, 156.224887, 155.339625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 176.28, "volume": 20645722, "typical_volume": 18423827.05, "trend": 156.399035, "fair_value": 126.026, "relative_strength": 2.896452, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.75693, "energy": 71.600557, "activity_lines": [ 168.458667, 164.698909, 158.500246, 156.6567 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 182.9, "volume": 13436182, "typical_volume": 17848948.65, "trend": 157.040506, "fair_value": 126.682978, "relative_strength": 3.158394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.92891, "energy": 87.269889, "activity_lines": [ 174.312, 168.562182, 161.28185, 158.36644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }