{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb5a3508-e383-4bc1-aeab-569695dbb0d9", "symbol": "LVHD", "name": "FRANKLIN U.S. LOW VOLATILITY HIGH DIVIDEND INDEX ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.294, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.378, "architecture_energy": 38.548, "architecture_maturity": 28.999, "architecture_confidence": 55.293, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.53, "rotation_up": 51.1, "upward_expansion": 75.46, "deceleration": 67.51, "rotation_down": 19.57, "downward_expansion": 4.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.557395, 44.427627, 43.828236, 43.519788 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 44.42, "trend_reference": 43.118605, "distance_from_trend": 0.030182, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.495527, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.184675, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.865962, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.032512, "excess_performance": -0.154942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030182, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036604, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.184675, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030006, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06866, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063829, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.032512, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.469929, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 290577, "relative_activity": 0.966391, "balance": 1.469929, "dry_up": 0.801765, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028574, "annualized_volatility": 0.116283, "from_high_reference": -0.036375, "from_low_reference": 0.151971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.118605, "fair_value_reference": 37.495527, "structural_low": 41.444698, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.003261, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.483871, "median_excess_return": -0.005843, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.069053, "worst_return": -0.057234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.012139, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.028491, "regime_survival": 0.181818, "best_return": 0.058512, "worst_return": -0.059077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033692, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.062832, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.145352, "worst_return": -0.05299, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-17", "close": 44.584819, "volume": 177300, "typical_volume": 292305.65, "trend": 42.63241, "fair_value": 37.28257, "relative_strength": -3.313128, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.658367, "energy": 65.22029, "activity_lines": [ 44.406137, 43.973815, 43.40167, 43.165887 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.993389, "volume": 265808, "typical_volume": 293760.25, "trend": 42.808705, "fair_value": 37.351884, "relative_strength": -0.713731, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.668923, "energy": 59.507575, "activity_lines": [ 44.661976, 44.234822, 43.585633, 43.318208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.485675, "volume": 230622, "typical_volume": 292876.15, "trend": 42.972479, "fair_value": 37.423656, "relative_strength": -2.196147, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.130891, "energy": 42.131653, "activity_lines": [ 44.615117, 44.348548, 43.714041, 43.4264 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.42, "volume": 290577, "typical_volume": 300682.7, "trend": 43.118605, "fair_value": 37.495527, "relative_strength": -6.865962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.37846, "energy": 38.547926, "activity_lines": [ 44.557395, 44.427627, 43.828236, 43.519788 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }