{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb5c4164-39c3-402f-9284-8301fb37caba", "symbol": "RULE", "name": "ADAPTIVE CORE ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.763, "architecture_energy": 24.283, "architecture_maturity": 67.495, "architecture_confidence": 92.115, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.94, "rotation_up": 18.58, "upward_expansion": 52.77, "deceleration": 93.98, "rotation_down": 34.75, "downward_expansion": 18.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.95052, 30.673187, 30.46509, 29.313252 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 30.13, "trend_reference": 27.86756, "distance_from_trend": 0.081185, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.703754, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.327093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.911747, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.190909, "excess_performance": 0.065284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081185, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109137, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.327093, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051077, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049117, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084079, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.190909, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.510889, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100507, "relative_activity": 8.900963, "balance": 2.510889, "dry_up": 2.885172, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065276, "annualized_volatility": 0.264747, "from_high_reference": -0.124637, "from_low_reference": 0.404007 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.86756, "fair_value_reference": 22.703754, "structural_low": 22.71, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.760658, "energy": 59.15529, "activity_lines": [ 32.108307, 31.838075, 30.037005, 28.684151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.78, "volume": 12717, "typical_volume": 6257.3, "trend": 27.247767, "fair_value": 22.504769, "relative_strength": 8.44412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.76288, "energy": 37.065048, "activity_lines": [ 31.268993, 31.538269, 30.17856, 28.862252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.8839, "volume": 10671, "typical_volume": 6529.7, "trend": 27.466313, "fair_value": 22.570415, "relative_strength": 9.238675, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.122215, "energy": 24.097041, "activity_lines": [ 30.628287, 31.260409, 30.31048, 29.032325 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.3596, "volume": 6419, "typical_volume": 6678.7, "trend": 27.66892, "fair_value": 22.634456, "relative_strength": 5.998921, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.681396, "energy": 23.590459, "activity_lines": [ 30.06086, 30.888005, 30.364207, 29.154473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.13, "volume": 100507, "typical_volume": 11291.7, "trend": 27.86756, "fair_value": 22.703754, "relative_strength": 4.911747, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.763199, "energy": 24.282687, "activity_lines": [ 29.95052, 30.673187, 30.46509, 29.313252 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }