{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb679c46-db20-400f-84a5-f0acdcbb308b", "symbol": "ZEPP", "name": "Zepp Health Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.183, "architecture_energy": 74.887, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.08, "rotation_up": 29.86, "upward_expansion": 17.9, "deceleration": 40.58, "rotation_down": 50.0, "downward_expansion": 88.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.847333, 4.923273, 6.829571, 9.123204 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.75, "trend_reference": 12.467333, "distance_from_trend": -0.619004, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.392076, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.542921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -81.990091, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.731487, "excess_performance": -0.857112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.619004, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.372765, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.542921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.744821, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.819901, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.300062, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.731487, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.261541, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 170837, "relative_activity": 0.343019, "balance": 0.261541, "dry_up": 0.380221, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.323914, "annualized_volatility": 1.255318, "from_high_reference": -0.923201, "from_low_reference": 0.233766 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.467333, "fair_value_reference": 10.392076, "structural_low": 3.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.064234, "positive_rate": 0.275, "directional_follow_through": 0.725, "median_excess_return": -0.079971, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 4.427984, "worst_return": -0.542439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.252316, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.223354, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 3.107011, "worst_return": -0.707637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.053846, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.186146, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 14.188192, "worst_return": -0.77646, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016949, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.188034, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.072222, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.057576, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111621, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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11.564323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.4, "volume": 163312, "typical_volume": 556409.2, "trend": 14.753333, "fair_value": 10.399896, "relative_strength": -79.390235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.762864, "energy": 63.152887, "activity_lines": [ 5.162667, 5.515818, 8.349095, 10.912796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.9, "volume": 176440, "typical_volume": 552750.2, "trend": 13.974333, "fair_value": 10.398486, "relative_strength": -81.074299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.112895, "energy": 61.619673, "activity_lines": [ 5.119333, 5.260182, 7.791381, 10.277097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.53, "volume": 246871, "typical_volume": 546125.35, "trend": 13.191, "fair_value": 10.395217, "relative_strength": -82.548688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.254597, "energy": 61.643306, "activity_lines": [ 4.948, 5.034545, 7.26119, 9.667785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.75, "volume": 170837, "typical_volume": 498038.75, "trend": 12.467333, "fair_value": 10.392076, "relative_strength": -81.990091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.18258, "energy": 74.887109, "activity_lines": [ 4.847333, 4.923273, 6.829571, 9.123204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }