{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eb7b344a-ed56-40a5-ae01-5bf91013bf7b",
    "symbol": "X7PP",
    "name": "Invesco STOXX Europe 600 Optimised Banks UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.209,
    "architecture_energy": 87.949,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.355,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.214,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.06,
        "rotation_up": 76.44,
        "upward_expansion": 95.36,
        "deceleration": 43.46,
        "rotation_down": 15.5,
        "downward_expansion": 19.69
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 21820.0,
    "trend_reference": 18698.55,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.166935,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12188.36859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.790231,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.638473,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.174444,
    "excess_performance": 0.123209,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166935,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062335,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.790231,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156166,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146385,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077153,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174444,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.85813,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8497,
      "relative_activity": 0.539507,
      "balance": 0.85813,
      "dry_up": 0.742815,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033859,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.262455,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011328,
      "from_low_reference": 0.500275
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 12188.36859,
      "structural_low": 15502.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.029789,
        "positive_rate": 0.755556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.755556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021686,
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        "worst_return": -0.230331,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.152202,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.162116,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.040659,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 11913.535256,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20762.5,
        "volume": 14570,
        "typical_volume": 16794.85,
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        "fair_value": 12001.551282,
        "relative_strength": 11.658134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 85.839146,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21260.0,
        "volume": 5405,
        "typical_volume": 15837.65,
        "trend": 18571.616667,
        "fair_value": 12092.983974,
        "relative_strength": 12.458072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.901366,
        "energy": 82.248943,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21820.0,
        "volume": 8497,
        "typical_volume": 15749.55,
        "trend": 18698.55,
        "fair_value": 12188.36859,
        "relative_strength": 14.638473,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.209483,
        "energy": 87.949163,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}