{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eb94a6d5-4cc5-467c-833e-2561b5760074", "symbol": "WTE", "name": "Westmount Energy Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.062, "architecture_energy": 62.482, "architecture_maturity": 32.471, "architecture_confidence": 93.194, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.91, "rotation_up": 17.17, "upward_expansion": 12.18, "deceleration": 40.98, "rotation_down": 68.41, "downward_expansion": 90.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.031933, 0.032691, 0.034179, 0.035581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0315, "trend_reference": 0.039667, "distance_from_trend": -0.205882, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.019425, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.621622, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.175696, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.416667, "excess_performance": -0.467902, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205882, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013267, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.621622, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.67073, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131757, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.657598, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.416667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.08333, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 609290, "relative_activity": 0.509304, "balance": 0.08333, "dry_up": 0.428273, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095556, "annualized_volatility": 0.753488, "from_high_reference": -0.65, "from_low_reference": 1.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.039667, "fair_value_reference": 0.019425, "structural_low": 0.025, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.046032, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.68, "median_excess_return": -0.03943, "regime_survival": 0.92, "best_return": 0.7, "worst_return": -0.224138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.102835, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.121444, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 2.3, "worst_return": -0.456604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.1956, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.253847, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 2.0, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 5, 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"down", "direction": -58.690971, "energy": 59.046013, "activity_lines": [ 0.034267, 0.035473, 0.035786, 0.038547 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.0335, "volume": 274707, "typical_volume": 2459821.25, "trend": 0.041533, "fair_value": 0.019137, "relative_strength": 0.322287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.719773, "energy": 55.246779, "activity_lines": [ 0.033867, 0.034927, 0.035452, 0.03802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.032, "volume": 1053741, "typical_volume": 2334146.55, "trend": 0.04145, "fair_value": 0.019217, "relative_strength": -6.493941, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.14063, "energy": 60.419587, "activity_lines": [ 0.0332, 0.034182, 0.035067, 0.037405 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.032, "volume": 84918, "typical_volume": 2234700.05, "trend": 0.041383, "fair_value": 0.019287, "relative_strength": -8.995231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.05575, "energy": 58.57889, "activity_lines": [ 0.0327, 0.033618, 0.034731, 0.036796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.032, "volume": 301457, "typical_volume": 1627252.05, "trend": 0.04095, "fair_value": 0.019358, "relative_strength": -11.146835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.387214, "energy": 55.778345, "activity_lines": [ 0.032333, 0.033145, 0.034469, 0.03619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0315, "volume": 609290, "typical_volume": 1196319.9, "trend": 0.039667, "fair_value": 0.019425, "relative_strength": -13.175696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.061746, "energy": 62.48249, "activity_lines": [ 0.031933, 0.032691, 0.034179, 0.035581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }