{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eba7ca04-c418-4a53-850e-bf73cfe64a6f", "symbol": "BYSI", "name": "BeyondSpring Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -80.328, "architecture_energy": 81.824, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.933, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.12, "rotation_up": 10.91, "upward_expansion": 19.69, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 81.54, "downward_expansion": 93.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.088667, 1.299455, 1.436024, 1.478806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.87, "trend_reference": 1.514667, "distance_from_trend": -0.425616, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.736327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.498942, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.93941, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.42, "excess_performance": -0.607454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.425616, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.498942, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.370624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.549394, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.42, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.837514, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 394651, "relative_activity": 3.496596, "balance": 0.837514, "dry_up": 1.607154, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.328532, "annualized_volatility": 0.783892, "from_high_reference": -0.643443, "from_low_reference": 0.005548 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.514667, "fair_value_reference": 1.736327, "structural_low": 0.8652, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.051948, "positive_rate": 0.419355, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": -0.08254, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 1.834144, "worst_return": -0.429224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.061693, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.141192, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.64, "worst_return": -0.54878, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.166972, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.317406, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.798561, "worst_return": -0.66359, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.116751, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.316456, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.045977, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.218638, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": 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35.501167, "activity_lines": [ 1.719333, 1.659455, 1.63331, 1.611043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.44, "volume": 156991, "typical_volume": 102704.4, "trend": 1.613333, "fair_value": 1.734532, "relative_strength": -29.806391, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.551283, "energy": 5.865433, "activity_lines": [ 1.636, 1.629636, 1.618405, 1.598419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.29, "volume": 140416, "typical_volume": 104677.75, "trend": 1.578, "fair_value": 1.735878, "relative_strength": -33.464343, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.248178, "energy": 21.572653, "activity_lines": [ 1.520667, 1.573455, 1.588548, 1.577559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.12, "volume": 145396, "typical_volume": 104720.15, "trend": 1.554, "fair_value": 1.736327, "relative_strength": -40.571794, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.503694, "energy": 56.68202, "activity_lines": [ 1.367333, 1.49, 1.542786, 1.548011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.15, "volume": 45117, "typical_volume": 101035.25, "trend": 1.538667, "fair_value": 1.737224, "relative_strength": -38.419369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.045464, "energy": 68.295536, "activity_lines": [ 1.256667, 1.416364, 1.501452, 1.521946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.87, "volume": 394651, "typical_volume": 112867.2, "trend": 1.514667, "fair_value": 1.736327, "relative_strength": -54.93941, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.328243, "energy": 81.824459, "activity_lines": [ 1.088667, 1.299455, 1.436024, 1.478806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }