{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ebb2109a-4e6d-45b7-a618-74720daf892d", "symbol": "OZK", "name": "Bank Ozk", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.82, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.631, "architecture_energy": 42.088, "architecture_maturity": 33.51, "architecture_confidence": 79.662, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.98, "rotation_up": 54.98, "upward_expansion": 78.97, "deceleration": 54.96, "rotation_down": 19.21, "downward_expansion": 5.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.163578, 50.840383, 49.957482, 49.072977 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 51.41, "trend_reference": 48.240505, "distance_from_trend": 0.065702, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.511659, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181522, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.090906, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.009986, "excess_performance": -0.177468, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065702, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036008, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.181522, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035801, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080807, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009986, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.779343, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4191907, "relative_activity": 0.756603, "balance": 1.779343, "dry_up": 1.11624, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049015, "annualized_volatility": 0.242063, "from_high_reference": -0.033283, "from_low_reference": 0.237355 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.240505, "fair_value_reference": 43.511659, "structural_low": 42.573224, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.049384, "positive_rate": 0.318182, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": -0.027835, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.145672, "worst_return": -0.219588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.028929, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.070705, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.085335, "worst_return": -0.315766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.08034, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.15869, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.049091, "worst_return": -0.313704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"close": 52.01, "volume": 6704861, "typical_volume": 5846579.1, "trend": 47.79738, "fair_value": 43.2801, "relative_strength": -2.086057, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.146067, "energy": 46.751233, "activity_lines": [ 50.73175, 50.28306, 49.164566, 48.479226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.33, "volume": 8101261, "typical_volume": 5953002.2, "trend": 47.933533, "fair_value": 43.349822, "relative_strength": -3.342837, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.655455, "energy": 35.117479, "activity_lines": [ 50.708938, 50.40738, 49.395022, 48.642621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.3, "volume": 5739766, "typical_volume": 5879566.65, "trend": 48.105942, "fair_value": 43.428827, "relative_strength": -1.778392, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.721109, "energy": 39.281945, "activity_lines": [ 50.907253, 50.642609, 49.690826, 48.859812 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.41, "volume": 4191907, "typical_volume": 5540428.2, "trend": 48.240505, "fair_value": 43.511659, "relative_strength": -6.090906, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.630504, "energy": 42.087748, "activity_lines": [ 51.163578, 50.840383, 49.957482, 49.072977 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }