{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ebcefab8-c632-4cdd-ad75-3ac5d3e160f1", "symbol": "CI", "name": "Charn Issara Development Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.443, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.027, "architecture_energy": 62.958, "architecture_maturity": 13.412, "architecture_confidence": 70.279, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.75, "rotation_up": 64.98, "upward_expansion": 84.47, "deceleration": 48.49, "rotation_down": 10.78, "downward_expansion": 13.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.377333, 0.366545, 0.350143, 0.343742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.38, "trend_reference": 0.34, "distance_from_trend": 0.117647, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.443718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1436, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.188111, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117647, "excess_performance": -0.074678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117647, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022044, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1436, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143677, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031881, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080414, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117647, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.594676, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 925300, "relative_activity": 0.339178, "balance": 0.594676, "dry_up": 1.44474, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095142, "annualized_volatility": 0.388343, "from_high_reference": -0.095238, "from_low_reference": 0.407407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.34, "fair_value_reference": 0.443718, "structural_low": 0.29, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.049206, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041581, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.241758, "worst_return": -0.120879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058403, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.084973, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.419355, "worst_return": -0.197674, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.249003, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.264241, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.450549, "worst_return": -0.409091, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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53.840862, "activity_lines": [ 0.362667, 0.35, 0.337714, 0.336301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.38, "volume": 1786200, "typical_volume": 2722194.05, "trend": 0.338333, "fair_value": 0.445769, "relative_strength": -5.012436, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.911088, "energy": 56.477095, "activity_lines": [ 0.370667, 0.356909, 0.342429, 0.339054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.37, "volume": 200900, "typical_volume": 2710574.05, "trend": 0.339, "fair_value": 0.444679, "relative_strength": -6.391104, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.980478, "energy": 54.539385, "activity_lines": [ 0.372667, 0.361273, 0.345905, 0.341097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.38, "volume": 925300, "typical_volume": 2728069.05, "trend": 0.34, "fair_value": 0.443718, "relative_strength": -3.188111, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.027473, "energy": 62.95813, "activity_lines": [ 0.377333, 0.366545, 0.350143, 0.343742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }