{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ebe2fbc5-125c-4570-893d-23275d73d24a",
    "symbol": "UCTT",
    "name": "Ultra Clean Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 22.205,
    "architecture_energy": 20.415,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.251,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.947,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.94,
        "rotation_up": 17.81,
        "upward_expansion": 51.5,
        "deceleration": 93.97,
        "rotation_down": 39.63,
        "downward_expansion": 22.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        89.258,
        96.732455,
        94.372452,
        87.262613
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 87.25,
    "trend_reference": 76.4925,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.140635,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.123558,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.121655,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 42.790673,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.806792,
    "excess_performance": 0.619339,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140635,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.472643,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.121655,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293914,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.427907,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.58389,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.806792,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.539144,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8966762,
      "relative_activity": 1.454468,
      "balance": 0.539144,
      "dry_up": 1.204285,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.236736,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.73627,
      "from_high_reference": -0.395021,
      "from_low_reference": 3.060973
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.4925,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.123558,
      "structural_low": 48.24,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.013798,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017932,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.074833,
        "worst_return": -0.16399,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.099493,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.132343,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.091754,
        "worst_return": -0.290739,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.019434,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.174633,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.112943,
        "worst_return": -0.151811,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.002473,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.216983,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.002473,
        "worst_return": -0.002473,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.377625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.278266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.120063,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.220354,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.01008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.026016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.136873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.536147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.12,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047293,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 68.406833,
        "fair_value": 39.752981,
        "relative_strength": 87.96572,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 92.43,
        "volume": 7204470,
        "typical_volume": 6029358.7,
        "trend": 70.6345,
        "fair_value": 40.116314,
        "relative_strength": 66.94015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.622701,
        "energy": 41.412354,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.371667,
          103.189091,
          93.789714,
          84.353398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.75,
        "volume": 4495586,
        "typical_volume": 5765483.9,
        "trend": 72.858167,
        "fair_value": 40.479263,
        "relative_strength": 66.492441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.38064,
        "energy": 23.883371,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.936667,
          102.020636,
          94.637167,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 83.31,
        "volume": 9030744,
        "typical_volume": 5968366.5,
        "trend": 74.7245,
        "fair_value": 40.780032,
        "relative_strength": 45.948357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.534285,
        "energy": 19.239454,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.257,
          99.012,
          94.384667,
          86.454516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 87.25,
        "volume": 8966762,
        "typical_volume": 6164975.55,
        "trend": 76.4925,
        "fair_value": 41.123558,
        "relative_strength": 42.790673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.205236,
        "energy": 20.414786,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.258,
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          87.262613
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}