{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec010e52-9270-45f4-ac2c-0c947c0b7007", "symbol": "MDO", "name": "McDonald's Corporation", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.404, "architecture_energy": 45.425, "architecture_maturity": 30.691, "architecture_confidence": 92.151, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.73, "rotation_up": 20.31, "upward_expansion": 6.28, "deceleration": 48.91, "rotation_down": 53.35, "downward_expansion": 77.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 236.353335, 238.501819, 240.895998, 246.614061 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 237.600006, "trend_reference": 253.707732, "distance_from_trend": -0.063489, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 252.220657, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057968, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.167224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.127762, "excess_performance": -0.192402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063489, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026423, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057968, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005433, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141672, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043882, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127762, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.019002, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31666, "relative_activity": 3.650806, "balance": 1.019002, "dry_up": 1.982545, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037885, "annualized_volatility": 0.158346, "from_high_reference": -0.173237, "from_low_reference": 0.041648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 253.707732, "fair_value_reference": 252.220657, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.795472, "energy": 42.96994, "activity_lines": [ 240.906668, 241.488083, 244.799062, 250.48862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 233.899994, "volume": 12019, "typical_volume": 6865.4, "trend": 255.09156, "fair_value": 252.314186, "relative_strength": -11.920109, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.785867, "energy": 47.137277, "activity_lines": [ 238.419999, 240.202079, 243.16154, 249.060666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 234.0, "volume": 14249, "typical_volume": 7262.7, "trend": 254.430824, "fair_value": 252.258549, "relative_strength": -13.42864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.179188, "energy": 48.666076, "activity_lines": [ 236.673333, 238.963876, 241.743031, 247.69992 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 237.600006, "volume": 31666, "typical_volume": 8673.7, "trend": 253.707732, "fair_value": 252.220657, "relative_strength": -14.167224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.403601, "energy": 45.424593, "activity_lines": [ 236.353335, 238.501819, 240.895998, 246.614061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }