{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec015e85-0912-4cf7-86b4-2679b33c0ea5", "symbol": "RVT", "name": "Richmond Vanadium Technology Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.542, "architecture_energy": 78.393, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.044, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.69, "rotation_up": 12.95, "upward_expansion": 19.27, "deceleration": 37.21, "rotation_down": 72.24, "downward_expansion": 94.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.101267, 0.108982, 0.125067, 0.134912 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.105, "trend_reference": 0.143417, "distance_from_trend": -0.267868, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.21017, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.500404, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.689608, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.222222, "excess_performance": -0.285928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.267868, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114493, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.500404, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186797, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.609963, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222222, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.271661, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 129125, "relative_activity": 0.495683, "balance": 0.271661, "dry_up": 0.543756, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.179121, "annualized_volatility": 1.054683, "from_high_reference": -0.596154, "from_low_reference": 0.640625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.143417, "fair_value_reference": 0.21017, "structural_low": 0.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.037558, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.018035, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.805556, "worst_return": -0.415385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.087879, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.093794, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.291667, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.267067, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.291261, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.013889, "worst_return": -0.488372, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.133362, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.197866, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.318182, "worst_return": -0.584906, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.09434, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.064516, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.665116, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.192308, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.28, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.09375, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.4, "volume": 15100, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 0.4, "volume": 92000, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 0.4, "volume": 11012, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 0.395, "volume": 108482, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 0.405, "volume": 72149, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 0.385, "volume": 10743, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 0.38, "volume": 6305, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 0.39, "volume": 23196, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 0.37, "volume": 129959, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 0.36, "volume": 36929, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 0.38, "volume": 78245, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 0.38, "volume": 14987, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 0.36, "volume": 12241, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 0.36, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 0.31, "volume": 129331, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 0.35, "volume": 34894, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 0.305, "volume": 66765, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 0.27, "volume": 105000, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 0.29, "volume": 25864, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 0.28, "volume": 4500, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 0.29, "volume": 30821, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 0.26, "volume": 112138, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 0.27, "volume": 245, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 0.3, "volume": 14625, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 0.36, "volume": 38811, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 0.38, "volume": 784004, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 0.38, "volume": 15689, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 0.39, "volume": 2753047, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 0.355, "volume": 1333351, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 0.305, "volume": 35249, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 0.3, "volume": 30057, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 0.335, "volume": 14727, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 0.335, "volume": 873, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 0.31, "volume": 62358, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 0.33, "volume": 64013, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 0.28, "volume": 115590, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 0.28, "volume": 12475, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 0.25, "volume": 180210, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 0.285, "volume": 94945, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 0.25, "volume": 64699, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 0.275, "volume": 13560, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 0.31, "volume": 235103, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 0.325, "volume": 198735, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 0.31, "volume": 158853, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 0.265, "volume": 96310, "typical_volume": 313192.4, "trend": 0.3075, "fair_value": 0.346031, "relative_strength": -26.66985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.679554, "energy": 23.980217, "activity_lines": [ 0.295667, 0.288, 0.296714, 0.30357 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 0.24, "volume": 64647, "typical_volume": 277224.55, "trend": 0.303833, "fair_value": 0.344722, "relative_strength": -32.616717, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.720093, "energy": 31.676401, "activity_lines": [ 0.276667, 0.280182, 0.28981, 0.299215 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 0.305, "volume": 152484, "typical_volume": 284064.3, "trend": 0.303833, "fair_value": 0.344238, "relative_strength": -14.352813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.237637, "energy": 24.482756, "activity_lines": [ 0.281667, 0.284909, 0.289762, 0.29929 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 0.3, "volume": 67775, "typical_volume": 149800.7, "trend": 0.304833, "fair_value": 0.343705, "relative_strength": -16.507949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.70844, "energy": 24.542676, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.288273, 0.289595, 0.299043 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 0.29, "volume": 20470, "typical_volume": 84156.65, "trend": 0.304833, "fair_value": 0.343065, "relative_strength": -18.614816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.115567, "energy": 17.057676, "activity_lines": [ 0.287333, 0.288909, 0.288905, 0.298086 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 0.31, "volume": 70559, "typical_volume": 85922.15, "trend": 0.305833, "fair_value": 0.342676, "relative_strength": -11.704304, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.232796, "energy": 10.301294, "activity_lines": [ 0.297333, 0.293091, 0.290429, 0.298419 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 0.27, "volume": 110265, "typical_volume": 89932.55, "trend": 0.305167, "fair_value": 0.341831, "relative_strength": -22.640333, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.888186, "energy": 13.303677, "activity_lines": [ 0.291, 0.288909, 0.288119, 0.296108 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 0.31, "volume": 30595, "typical_volume": 90725.95, "trend": 0.306833, "fair_value": 0.341466, "relative_strength": -8.677377, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.977627, "energy": 5.322845, "activity_lines": [ 0.296, 0.292091, 0.289762, 0.296419 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 0.3, "volume": 80737, "typical_volume": 94719.15, "trend": 0.307833, "fair_value": 0.340994, "relative_strength": -13.065659, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.83133, "energy": 7.936456, "activity_lines": [ 0.297333, 0.293455, 0.290571, 0.295978 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 0.26, "volume": 40969, "typical_volume": 93649.7, "trend": 0.3065, "fair_value": 0.340084, "relative_strength": -24.352444, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.369537, "energy": 22.189748, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.288, 0.287738, 0.292892 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 0.315, "volume": 86845, "typical_volume": 94791.3, "trend": 0.305, "fair_value": 0.339806, "relative_strength": -8.46147, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.040057, "energy": 2.500642, "activity_lines": [ 0.293667, 0.293455, 0.290381, 0.293441 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 0.31, "volume": 37561, "typical_volume": 90889.85, "trend": 0.302667, "fair_value": 0.339478, "relative_strength": -8.347791, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.068936, "energy": 6.874615, "activity_lines": [ 0.3, 0.297091, 0.292619, 0.293763 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 0.285, "volume": 49304, "typical_volume": 92731.3, "trend": 0.2995, "fair_value": 0.338886, "relative_strength": -15.854781, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.138921, "energy": 7.889668, "activity_lines": [ 0.295333, 0.294909, 0.292333, 0.292624 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 0.305, "volume": 93098, "typical_volume": 88375.7, "trend": 0.296667, "fair_value": 0.338522, "relative_strength": -10.438972, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.260083, "energy": 15.26849, "activity_lines": [ 0.299, 0.296727, 0.293929, 0.292978 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 0.3, "volume": 171347, "typical_volume": 92195.8, "trend": 0.294833, "fair_value": 0.338112, "relative_strength": -11.220825, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.003503, "energy": 17.314398, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.297545, 0.294786, 0.293194 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 0.31, "volume": 53633, "typical_volume": 91642.5, "trend": 0.295, "fair_value": 0.337816, "relative_strength": -6.775202, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.185944, "energy": 18.636092, "activity_lines": [ 0.303, 0.3, 0.296524, 0.294172 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 0.33, "volume": 85921, "typical_volume": 95260.55, "trend": 0.296, "fair_value": 0.337734, "relative_strength": -0.965695, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.444183, "energy": 54.922951, "activity_lines": [ 0.312333, 0.306091, 0.299881, 0.29643 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 0.32, "volume": 18042, "typical_volume": 84407.5, "trend": 0.2955, "fair_value": 0.337552, "relative_strength": -4.148125, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.011308, "energy": 53.568616, "activity_lines": [ 0.317, 0.309273, 0.302024, 0.297978 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 0.3, "volume": 917, "typical_volume": 74516.6, "trend": 0.294333, "fair_value": 0.337168, "relative_strength": -8.517116, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.392998, "energy": 43.91517, "activity_lines": [ 0.312667, 0.308636, 0.302214, 0.298269 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 0.315, "volume": 139055, "typical_volume": 73526.7, "trend": 0.2945, "fair_value": 0.336944, "relative_strength": -2.110564, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.907823, "energy": 42.460589, "activity_lines": [ 0.313667, 0.310727, 0.303952, 0.299602 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.31, "volume": 1977642, "typical_volume": 167593.3, "trend": 0.293833, "fair_value": 0.336675, "relative_strength": -5.056299, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.617023, "energy": 26.097193, "activity_lines": [ 0.312, 0.310909, 0.30519, 0.300602 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 0.285, "volume": 35082, "typical_volume": 166115.05, "trend": 0.294, "fair_value": 0.336163, "relative_strength": -11.891186, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.686965, "energy": 12.054258, "activity_lines": [ 0.302, 0.306636, 0.303833, 0.300032 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 0.285, "volume": 224766, "typical_volume": 169729.15, "trend": 0.294167, "fair_value": 0.335662, "relative_strength": -12.59737, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.248735, "energy": 13.84993, "activity_lines": [ 0.295, 0.302818, 0.302262, 0.299452 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 0.26, "volume": 75389, "typical_volume": 170109.85, "trend": 0.2945, "fair_value": 0.334927, "relative_strength": -19.925224, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.019182, "energy": 40.499655, "activity_lines": [ 0.282, 0.294455, 0.298405, 0.297247 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 0.26, "volume": 38740, "typical_volume": 171023.35, "trend": 0.293667, "fair_value": 0.334207, "relative_strength": -19.315498, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.143785, "energy": 58.712247, "activity_lines": [ 0.271667, 0.286909, 0.294738, 0.295022 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 0.26, "volume": 113124, "typical_volume": 173151.6, "trend": 0.294, "fair_value": 0.3335, "relative_strength": -17.897062, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.335217, "energy": 73.394328, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.280091, 0.291214, 0.292849 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 0.215, "volume": 310947, "typical_volume": 183185.7, "trend": 0.292, "fair_value": 0.332382, "relative_strength": -29.754995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.312563, "energy": 86.42799, "activity_lines": [ 0.246667, 0.266, 0.283643, 0.287753 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 0.205, "volume": 38094, "typical_volume": 183560.65, "trend": 0.2885, "fair_value": 0.331192, "relative_strength": -34.198749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.326685, "energy": 90.588255, "activity_lines": [ 0.229667, 0.252182, 0.275381, 0.28214 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 0.21, "volume": 118465, "typical_volume": 185447.05, "trend": 0.284667, "fair_value": 0.330069, "relative_strength": -32.041622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.076972, "energy": 88.611174, "activity_lines": [ 0.219667, 0.241364, 0.268095, 0.277075 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 0.19, "volume": 196435, "typical_volume": 193220.35, "trend": 0.280667, "fair_value": 0.328784, "relative_strength": -38.465293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.39005, "energy": 92.235933, "activity_lines": [ 0.206333, 0.228545, 0.259333, 0.270968 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 0.18, "volume": 214597, "typical_volume": 199607.95, "trend": 0.277833, "fair_value": 0.327432, "relative_strength": -41.372426, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.235818, "energy": 90.368405, "activity_lines": [ 0.194333, 0.216182, 0.249952, 0.264473 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 0.165, "volume": 50585, "typical_volume": 200259.15, "trend": 0.275333, "fair_value": 0.325968, "relative_strength": -46.326437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.551611, "energy": 89.00465, "activity_lines": [ 0.182667, 0.203455, 0.239786, 0.257194 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 0.185, "volume": 103058, "typical_volume": 202946.85, "trend": 0.271333, "fair_value": 0.32471, "relative_strength": -39.898158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.358905, "energy": 78.080012, "activity_lines": [ 0.181, 0.196545, 0.232214, 0.251366 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 0.16, "volume": 157272, "typical_volume": 206155.55, "trend": 0.266667, "fair_value": 0.323252, "relative_strength": -47.019471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.049132, "energy": 68.436836, "activity_lines": [ 0.172333, 0.186909, 0.222738, 0.244183 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 0.155, "volume": 69990, "typical_volume": 201087.7, "trend": 0.262167, "fair_value": 0.321776, "relative_strength": -48.054519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.012047, "energy": 67.986503, "activity_lines": [ 0.165333, 0.178182, 0.213476, 0.236978 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 0.12, "volume": 418888, "typical_volume": 219350.45, "trend": 0.255833, "fair_value": 0.320022, "relative_strength": -57.672464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.503937, "energy": 80.612182, "activity_lines": [ 0.149, 0.165, 0.201571, 0.227806 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 0.145, "volume": 85394, "typical_volume": 219324.1, "trend": 0.251667, "fair_value": 0.318513, "relative_strength": -47.245519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.135374, "energy": 76.001269, "activity_lines": [ 0.145, 0.158909, 0.192952, 0.220656 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 0.165, "volume": 140942, "typical_volume": 225469.1, "trend": 0.246833, "fair_value": 0.317201, "relative_strength": -37.629895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.760284, "energy": 63.736665, "activity_lines": [ 0.149, 0.157727, 0.187119, 0.215065 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 0.155, "volume": 346669, "typical_volume": 242756.7, "trend": 0.242, "fair_value": 0.315826, "relative_strength": -39.546639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.735354, "energy": 59.488868, "activity_lines": [ 0.151, 0.155455, 0.181071, 0.20914 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 0.15, "volume": 235141, "typical_volume": 247561.0, "trend": 0.238333, "fair_value": 0.314433, "relative_strength": -41.716472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.054894, "energy": 54.173206, "activity_lines": [ 0.151667, 0.153273, 0.175238, 0.203204 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 0.115, "volume": 336032, "typical_volume": 165480.5, "trend": 0.231667, "fair_value": 0.312771, "relative_strength": -54.850761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.565199, "energy": 60.405552, "activity_lines": [ 0.141, 0.145455, 0.166857, 0.195247 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 0.13, "volume": 72171, "typical_volume": 167334.95, "trend": 0.225667, "fair_value": 0.31126, "relative_strength": -46.126018, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.803762, "energy": 58.632767, "activity_lines": [ 0.135667, 0.141545, 0.160833, 0.188688 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 0.15, "volume": 122576, "typical_volume": 162225.45, "trend": 0.221167, "fair_value": 0.309939, "relative_strength": -36.785521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.43227, "energy": 55.35615, "activity_lines": [ 0.138, 0.141909, 0.157452, 0.183806 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 0.15, "volume": 105870, "typical_volume": 163749.5, "trend": 0.216, "fair_value": 0.308638, "relative_strength": -37.490725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.221149, "energy": 51.662772, "activity_lines": [ 0.141333, 0.142909, 0.154714, 0.179215 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 0.16, "volume": 62276, "typical_volume": 164926.3, "trend": 0.211333, "fair_value": 0.30744, "relative_strength": -33.87164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.033044, "energy": 34.481461, "activity_lines": [ 0.148333, 0.145909, 0.153452, 0.175602 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 0.145, "volume": 47366, "typical_volume": 161638.4, "trend": 0.205833, "fair_value": 0.30614, "relative_strength": -41.471632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.208645, "energy": 26.942141, "activity_lines": [ 0.149667, 0.146091, 0.151238, 0.171323 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 0.14, "volume": 19055, "typical_volume": 147043.8, "trend": 0.1995, "fair_value": 0.304821, "relative_strength": -42.718991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.891337, "energy": 30.94361, "activity_lines": [ 0.147333, 0.144909, 0.149095, 0.167075 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 0.145, "volume": 80865, "typical_volume": 149182.35, "trend": 0.193667, "fair_value": 0.303563, "relative_strength": -40.913925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.798771, "energy": 28.725954, "activity_lines": [ 0.146, 0.144727, 0.147786, 0.163559 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 0.14, "volume": 589910, "typical_volume": 172754.6, "trend": 0.188333, "fair_value": 0.302285, "relative_strength": -42.358609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.70971, "energy": 40.754171, "activity_lines": [ 0.143333, 0.144, 0.146286, 0.160097 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 0.12, "volume": 88978, "typical_volume": 167381.75, "trend": 0.181833, "fair_value": 0.300872, "relative_strength": -50.166869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.343555, "energy": 60.665529, "activity_lines": [ 0.134667, 0.139909, 0.143214, 0.155688 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 0.13, "volume": 287118, "typical_volume": 171007.8, "trend": 0.175833, "fair_value": 0.299558, "relative_strength": -45.571337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.997292, "energy": 51.845916, "activity_lines": [ 0.132, 0.138182, 0.141429, 0.152344 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 0.13, "volume": 299341, "typical_volume": 183445.6, "trend": 0.170667, "fair_value": 0.298263, "relative_strength": -44.83041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.9513, "energy": 54.521992, "activity_lines": [ 0.130333, 0.136182, 0.139881, 0.149387 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 0.11, "volume": 329113, "typical_volume": 194748.35, "trend": 0.164833, "fair_value": 0.296837, "relative_strength": -52.388656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.179109, "energy": 74.784731, "activity_lines": [ 0.122667, 0.130545, 0.136595, 0.145473 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 0.085, "volume": 630753, "typical_volume": 218422.4, "trend": 0.159, "fair_value": 0.295244, "relative_strength": -62.694632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.224339, "energy": 91.302555, "activity_lines": [ 0.109, 0.121091, 0.131286, 0.140323 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 0.076, "volume": 310337, "typical_volume": 230439.75, "trend": 0.152867, "fair_value": 0.293608, "relative_strength": -66.257673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.862729, "energy": 96.375265, "activity_lines": [ 0.096, 0.111182, 0.125476, 0.134968 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 0.075, "volume": 186444, "typical_volume": 218817.55, "trend": 0.1467, "fair_value": 0.291989, "relative_strength": -65.887372, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.326618, "energy": 94.92652, "activity_lines": [ 0.0856, 0.102618, 0.119948, 0.129944 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 0.073, "volume": 349097, "typical_volume": 232002.7, "trend": 0.141967, "fair_value": 0.290379, "relative_strength": -66.769143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.325767, "energy": 92.603343, "activity_lines": [ 0.0782, 0.094964, 0.114443, 0.125189 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 0.072, "volume": 291324, "typical_volume": 239521.8, "trend": 0.137533, "fair_value": 0.288785, "relative_strength": -66.081271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.455924, "energy": 90.852645, "activity_lines": [ 0.074267, 0.088345, 0.109186, 0.120675 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 0.068, "volume": 364658, "typical_volume": 240421.25, "trend": 0.1328, "fair_value": 0.287185, "relative_strength": -67.275849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.330499, "energy": 91.664628, "activity_lines": [ 0.071533, 0.082327, 0.10399, 0.116189 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 0.068, "volume": 499319, "typical_volume": 253630.15, "trend": 0.128733, "fair_value": 0.285608, "relative_strength": -66.963928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.897104, "energy": 87.403979, "activity_lines": [ 0.069933, 0.077618, 0.09921, 0.112009 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 0.065, "volume": 289048, "typical_volume": 251280.95, "trend": 0.1249, "fair_value": 0.284032, "relative_strength": -68.088682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.767468, "energy": 71.956375, "activity_lines": [ 0.067867, 0.073309, 0.094533, 0.107897 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 0.066, "volume": 74146, "typical_volume": 251379.7, "trend": 0.1216, "fair_value": 0.282486, "relative_strength": -67.004469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.403232, "energy": 68.849093, "activity_lines": [ 0.0668, 0.070364, 0.09019, 0.104097 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 0.07, "volume": 227166, "typical_volume": 256609.2, "trend": 0.117767, "fair_value": 0.280989, "relative_strength": -64.062573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.923052, "energy": 67.25692, "activity_lines": [ 0.067533, 0.069309, 0.086533, 0.100768 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 0.066, "volume": 159112, "typical_volume": 259271.3, "trend": 0.114633, "fair_value": 0.279486, "relative_strength": -64.751227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.465795, "energy": 79.993971, "activity_lines": [ 0.067067, 0.068255, 0.082876, 0.097428 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 0.065, "volume": 207502, "typical_volume": 266532.6, "trend": 0.111633, "fair_value": 0.277997, "relative_strength": -64.35606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.021545, "energy": 71.678361, "activity_lines": [ 0.0664, 0.067364, 0.079524, 0.094226 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 0.066, "volume": 99665, "typical_volume": 269147.55, "trend": 0.109833, "fair_value": 0.276534, "relative_strength": -62.388852, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.62685, "energy": 79.552658, "activity_lines": [ 0.066267, 0.066855, 0.076719, 0.091282 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 0.067, "volume": 131582, "typical_volume": 274773.9, "trend": 0.107233, "fair_value": 0.275099, "relative_strength": -60.790932, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.96157, "energy": 87.623411, "activity_lines": [ 0.0664, 0.066691, 0.074386, 0.088518 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 0.074, "volume": 227829, "typical_volume": 282122.1, "trend": 0.1042, "fair_value": 0.273731, "relative_strength": -56.370768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.893211, "energy": 79.988305, "activity_lines": [ 0.0688, 0.067909, 0.073067, 0.086374 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 0.077, "volume": 332355, "typical_volume": 269244.35, "trend": 0.1016, "fair_value": 0.272402, "relative_strength": -52.940272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.735261, "energy": 52.587778, "activity_lines": [ 0.071933, 0.069636, 0.072371, 0.084619 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 0.075, "volume": 690639, "typical_volume": 299327.4, "trend": 0.0991, "fair_value": 0.271077, "relative_strength": -52.847115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.280708, "energy": 38.104303, "activity_lines": [ 0.073667, 0.070836, 0.071786, 0.082903 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 0.07, "volume": 695506, "typical_volume": 319746.8, "trend": 0.0976, "fair_value": 0.269737, "relative_strength": -54.688328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.932386, "energy": 28.38588, "activity_lines": [ 0.073067, 0.071, 0.070938, 0.081026 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 0.068, "volume": 90076, "typical_volume": 309283.55, "trend": 0.095533, "fair_value": 0.268401, "relative_strength": -53.684104, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.167634, "energy": 36.413482, "activity_lines": [ 0.071533, 0.070709, 0.070186, 0.079116 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.072, "volume": 169964, "typical_volume": 301326.1, "trend": 0.092933, "fair_value": 0.267109, "relative_strength": -48.588014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.783593, "energy": 34.93804, "activity_lines": [ 0.071267, 0.071109, 0.07011, 0.077598 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.079, "volume": 134596, "typical_volume": 276518.25, "trend": 0.090567, "fair_value": 0.265879, "relative_strength": -40.909626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.41428, "energy": 21.260467, "activity_lines": [ 0.073467, 0.072745, 0.070881, 0.076699 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.078, "volume": 123285, "typical_volume": 267165.65, "trend": 0.087833, "fair_value": 0.264659, "relative_strength": -38.253277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.742887, "energy": 9.486217, "activity_lines": [ 0.0752, 0.073964, 0.071586, 0.075888 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 0.078, "volume": 93326, "typical_volume": 262509.75, "trend": 0.0856, "fair_value": 0.263455, "relative_strength": -37.939007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.225651, "energy": 16.278581, "activity_lines": [ 0.076733, 0.074945, 0.072281, 0.075254 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 0.072, "volume": 259750, "typical_volume": 258042.4, "trend": 0.083333, "fair_value": 0.262228, "relative_strength": -41.099304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.871852, "energy": 16.775465, "activity_lines": [ 0.075733, 0.074618, 0.07239, 0.074376 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 0.071, "volume": 69652, "typical_volume": 246958.8, "trend": 0.080867, "fair_value": 0.260888, "relative_strength": -40.461619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.102947, "energy": 9.963202, "activity_lines": [ 0.074133, 0.074018, 0.07241, 0.073581 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 0.072, "volume": 152873, "typical_volume": 236369.55, "trend": 0.0786, "fair_value": 0.259619, "relative_strength": -37.486967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.610608, "energy": 18.79308, "activity_lines": [ 0.072933, 0.073655, 0.072529, 0.073009 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 0.072, "volume": 93271, "typical_volume": 216067.15, "trend": 0.077, "fair_value": 0.258574, "relative_strength": -36.98965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.253082, "energy": 22.186298, "activity_lines": [ 0.0722, 0.073382, 0.072629, 0.072583 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 0.072, "volume": 157295, "typical_volume": 209479.5, "trend": 0.075067, "fair_value": 0.257593, "relative_strength": -35.090903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.502212, "energy": 21.013246, "activity_lines": [ 0.071867, 0.073164, 0.07271, 0.07226 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 0.072, "volume": 121376, "typical_volume": 211841.0, "trend": 0.073133, "fair_value": 0.256612, "relative_strength": -33.543398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.324573, "energy": 17.163215, "activity_lines": [ 0.071933, 0.072909, 0.072757, 0.072062 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 0.13, "volume": 703303, "typical_volume": 235647.85, "trend": 0.0738, "fair_value": 0.255939, "relative_strength": 18.780671, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.309655, "energy": 84.371015, "activity_lines": [ 0.091333, 0.083127, 0.0783, 0.075731 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 0.16, "volume": 1846576, "typical_volume": 320021.05, "trend": 0.0763, "fair_value": 0.25517, "relative_strength": 47.274577, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.420338, "energy": 90.317804, "activity_lines": [ 0.1168, 0.097745, 0.086414, 0.081292 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 0.14, "volume": 312932, "typical_volume": 325292.55, "trend": 0.078433, "fair_value": 0.253503, "relative_strength": 29.936246, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.807614, "energy": 88.781179, "activity_lines": [ 0.129733, 0.107255, 0.092176, 0.085402 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 0.135, "volume": 689910, "typical_volume": 354804.8, "trend": 0.080433, "fair_value": 0.252125, "relative_strength": 28.271353, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.89585, "energy": 85.298387, "activity_lines": [ 0.136467, 0.114727, 0.097105, 0.089052 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 0.14, "volume": 1879595, "typical_volume": 442205.45, "trend": 0.082667, "fair_value": 0.250683, "relative_strength": 30.409106, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.815939, "energy": 68.368996, "activity_lines": [ 0.140667, 0.122073, 0.102181, 0.092895 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 0.135, "volume": 391506, "typical_volume": 450389.3, "trend": 0.084767, "fair_value": 0.249112, "relative_strength": 23.404394, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.334453, "energy": 53.065101, "activity_lines": [ 0.138667, 0.127273, 0.106433, 0.096271 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 0.15, "volume": 285434, "typical_volume": 448043.25, "trend": 0.0875, "fair_value": 0.247638, "relative_strength": 35.680001, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.917519, "energy": 51.462592, "activity_lines": [ 0.141333, 0.134036, 0.111824, 0.10048 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.225, "volume": 2638343, "typical_volume": 545428.45, "trend": 0.092733, "fair_value": 0.246452, "relative_strength": 109.946781, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.70775, "energy": 64.874961, "activity_lines": [ 0.169667, 0.153018, 0.12401, 0.109351 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.175, "volume": 736651, "typical_volume": 547485.7, "trend": 0.0964, "fair_value": 0.245138, "relative_strength": 67.615046, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.196217, "energy": 53.278253, "activity_lines": [ 0.175667, 0.160127, 0.130719, 0.114658 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.165, "volume": 541784, "typical_volume": 570071.1, "trend": 0.0997, "fair_value": 0.243631, "relative_strength": 61.405145, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.303466, "energy": 50.519116, "activity_lines": [ 0.175667, 0.163545, 0.135976, 0.119084 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.15, "volume": 386869, "typical_volume": 580916.35, "trend": 0.102367, "fair_value": 0.242029, "relative_strength": 44.483074, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.962209, "energy": 44.864184, "activity_lines": [ 0.169, 0.162545, 0.139343, 0.122329 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.155, "volume": 628329, "typical_volume": 605603.0, "trend": 0.105333, "fair_value": 0.240458, "relative_strength": 47.93979, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.052875, "energy": 31.39456, "activity_lines": [ 0.163, 0.162091, 0.142814, 0.125725 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.16, "volume": 382975, "typical_volume": 618587.5, "trend": 0.1085, "fair_value": 0.23876, "relative_strength": 46.623685, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.355106, "energy": 21.917545, "activity_lines": [ 0.158333, 0.162636, 0.1464, 0.129252 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.16, "volume": 740448, "typical_volume": 650943.6, "trend": 0.111633, "fair_value": 0.237269, "relative_strength": 47.150389, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.023585, "energy": 19.94507, "activity_lines": [ 0.158, 0.162818, 0.149595, 0.132574 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.165, "volume": 587786, "typical_volume": 667345.4, "trend": 0.1149, "fair_value": 0.235827, "relative_strength": 54.837825, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.058081, "energy": 24.396245, "activity_lines": [ 0.160333, 0.163455, 0.152876, 0.136017 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.2, "volume": 691293, "typical_volume": 698427.45, "trend": 0.1191, "fair_value": 0.234705, "relative_strength": 87.324378, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.284498, "energy": 42.769617, "activity_lines": [ 0.174333, 0.17, 0.159048, 0.141508 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.16, "volume": 126373, "typical_volume": 697102.45, "trend": 0.121867, "fair_value": 0.233103, "relative_strength": 49.306668, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.199527, "energy": 32.659064, "activity_lines": [ 0.171667, 0.168091, 0.160795, 0.144146 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.15, "volume": 286707, "typical_volume": 706774.25, "trend": 0.124367, "fair_value": 0.231628, "relative_strength": 41.81711, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.364357, "energy": 28.282662, "activity_lines": [ 0.165333, 0.164182, 0.161171, 0.145961 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.13, "volume": 482895, "typical_volume": 723054.25, "trend": 0.126367, "fair_value": 0.230154, "relative_strength": 22.869331, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.832766, "energy": 7.64654, "activity_lines": [ 0.153, 0.158, 0.159271, 0.146325 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.1375, "volume": 1678, "typical_volume": 717069.35, "trend": 0.128683, "fair_value": 0.228599, "relative_strength": 28.538666, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.487804, "energy": 13.995894, "activity_lines": [ 0.145167, 0.154, 0.15781, 0.147043 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.13, "volume": 119415, "typical_volume": 687874.95, "trend": 0.130617, "fair_value": 0.227061, "relative_strength": 23.066872, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.807967, "energy": 18.443075, "activity_lines": [ 0.136667, 0.149136, 0.155321, 0.147128 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.16, "volume": 133504, "typical_volume": 602221.35, "trend": 0.133317, "fair_value": 0.225587, "relative_strength": 47.701579, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.617971, "energy": 17.492079, "activity_lines": [ 0.142833, 0.150091, 0.15569, 0.149024 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.145, "volume": 6769, "typical_volume": 586913.2, "trend": 0.13555, "fair_value": 0.223952, "relative_strength": 32.755745, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.639113, "energy": 14.324994, "activity_lines": [ 0.144, 0.148227, 0.154631, 0.149777 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.135, "volume": 21005, "typical_volume": 553467.95, "trend": 0.13745, "fair_value": 0.222189, "relative_strength": 23.469512, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.061997, "energy": 10.375492, "activity_lines": [ 0.142167, 0.144818, 0.152595, 0.149742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.099, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 459488.2, "trend": 0.13835, "fair_value": 0.220292, "relative_strength": -10.601874, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.034504, "energy": 35.648124, "activity_lines": [ 0.128, 0.135318, 0.147131, 0.147261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.11, "volume": 47341, "typical_volume": 442279.95, "trend": 0.13965, "fair_value": 0.218304, "relative_strength": -0.806952, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.108993, "energy": 54.4024, "activity_lines": [ 0.120067, 0.129018, 0.14291, 0.145432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.1, "volume": 114271, "typical_volume": 433721.8, "trend": 0.140583, "fair_value": 0.216157, "relative_strength": -10.145195, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.557313, "energy": 65.200957, "activity_lines": [ 0.110133, 0.122536, 0.137855, 0.142874 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1, "volume": 207063, "typical_volume": 312157.8, "trend": 0.141517, "fair_value": 0.21401, "relative_strength": -10.316779, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.511017, "energy": 78.507465, "activity_lines": [ 0.1042, 0.117145, 0.133038, 0.140256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.096, "volume": 116132, "typical_volume": 281131.85, "trend": 0.142317, "fair_value": 0.212093, "relative_strength": -16.225898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.667056, "energy": 81.568794, "activity_lines": [ 0.099933, 0.111936, 0.128436, 0.137319 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.105, "volume": 129125, "typical_volume": 260498.9, "trend": 0.143417, "fair_value": 0.21017, "relative_strength": -11.689608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.542427, "energy": 78.393446, "activity_lines": [ 0.101267, 0.108982, 0.125067, 0.134912 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }