{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec022b1a-0ab4-4fe7-8fb9-f2701d9ec8e4", "symbol": "CRR-UN", "name": "Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.075, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.955, "architecture_energy": 20.867, "architecture_maturity": 85.543, "architecture_confidence": 68.122, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.75, "rotation_up": 30.33, "upward_expansion": 65.14, "deceleration": 85.35, "rotation_down": 29.69, "downward_expansion": 17.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.277898, 17.397256, 17.232205, 16.940815 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.719999, "trend_reference": 16.542922, "distance_from_trend": 0.010704, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.548711, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.53231, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08048, "excess_performance": -0.039942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010704, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052907, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.234066, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060022, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055323, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062397, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.390326, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1345800, "relative_activity": 2.085736, "balance": 0.390326, "dry_up": 1.289946, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032084, "annualized_volatility": 0.133026, "from_high_reference": -0.06289, "from_low_reference": 0.204796 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.542922, "fair_value_reference": 13.548711, "structural_low": 15.052543, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.003989, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.004971, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.085182, "worst_return": -0.061176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.002951, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043793, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.076943, "worst_return": -0.09858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.010469, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.096237, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.155658, "worst_return": -0.191422, "sufficient": true }, { 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69.932529, "energy": 76.282374, "activity_lines": [ 17.573557, 17.368098, 17.012814, 16.686902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.66287, "volume": 715700, "typical_volume": 731400.0, "trend": 16.327076, "fair_value": 13.438173, "relative_strength": 2.69334, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.648152, "energy": 72.121667, "activity_lines": [ 17.621643, 17.450621, 17.108733, 16.778591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.573261, "volume": 667500, "typical_volume": 722845.0, "trend": 16.419523, "fair_value": 13.4764, "relative_strength": 1.905086, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.275684, "energy": 60.226774, "activity_lines": [ 17.615349, 17.503542, 17.188855, 16.85899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.469999, "volume": 600300, "typical_volume": 711625.0, "trend": 16.502191, "fair_value": 13.514611, "relative_strength": 1.758715, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.464765, "energy": 48.373236, "activity_lines": [ 17.571365, 17.522041, 17.250614, 16.926763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.719999, "volume": 1345800, "typical_volume": 645240.0, "trend": 16.542922, "fair_value": 13.548711, "relative_strength": -5.53231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.955102, "energy": 20.866671, "activity_lines": [ 17.277898, 17.397256, 17.232205, 16.940815 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }