{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec02b82d-7a0b-4a88-8538-8cb6a89ff72e",
    "symbol": "002092",
    "name": "Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.693,
    "architecture_energy": 43.226,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.343,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.999,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.07,
        "rotation_up": 27.94,
        "upward_expansion": 21.93,
        "deceleration": 46.57,
        "rotation_down": 34.86,
        "downward_expansion": 69.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.366,
        4.242,
        4.648095,
        5.198151
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.48,
    "trend_reference": 5.76,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.222222,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.062372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115039,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.708433,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.360913,
    "excess_performance": -0.368313,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222222,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032637,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115039,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.290063,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187084,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12004,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.360913,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.894973,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 314520451,
      "relative_activity": 1.090846,
      "balance": 0.894973,
      "dry_up": 1.299399,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10182,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.531522,
      "from_high_reference": -0.499441,
      "from_low_reference": 0.197861
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.76,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.062372,
      "structural_low": 3.74,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.017728,
        "positive_rate": 0.423077,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.576923,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032604,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.189147,
        "worst_return": -0.191057,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.131443,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002031,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.320475,
        "worst_return": -0.229904,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.055994,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027589,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.376206,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.234573,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024485,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.177835,
        "worst_return": -0.411135,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2023-06-09",
        "end": "2023-07-28",
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        "return": 0.109434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": -0.095304,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 340905646.3,
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        "relative_strength": -18.191749,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.41,
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        "typical_volume": 305994796.7,
        "trend": 5.776667,
        "fair_value": 5.0775,
        "relative_strength": -16.132812,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -51.564865,
        "energy": 52.50938,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.48,
        "volume": 314520451,
        "typical_volume": 288327162.65,
        "trend": 5.76,
        "fair_value": 5.062372,
        "relative_strength": -18.708433,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -46.693206,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}