{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec076351-c6ea-43a1-bcf8-a8f87b629edd",
    "symbol": "BSS",
    "name": "Biesse S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.769,
    "architecture_energy": 53.771,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.795,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.019,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.51,
        "rotation_up": 13.61,
        "upward_expansion": 10.87,
        "deceleration": 39.69,
        "rotation_down": 64.16,
        "downward_expansion": 86.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.128667,
        5.274,
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        5.525505
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.15,
    "trend_reference": 5.706,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.097441,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.391011,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.386248,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.139352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.170692,
    "excess_performance": -0.341584,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097441,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064488,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.386248,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108369,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.301394,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13435,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170692,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.313527,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1161163,
      "relative_activity": 3.532128,
      "balance": 1.313527,
      "dry_up": 1.52747,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.099925,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.442768,
      "from_high_reference": -0.398364,
      "from_low_reference": 0.080797
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.706,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.391011,
      "structural_low": 4.765,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.017212,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04986,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.230241,
        "worst_return": -0.251672,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.109868,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.248848,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.128453,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.339546,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.461559,
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 291027.7,
        "trend": 5.908333,
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        "relative_strength": -29.143481,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.382735,
        "energy": 47.153145,
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          5.57681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 139872,
        "typical_volume": 280130.7,
        "trend": 5.842667,
        "fair_value": 8.471676,
        "relative_strength": -30.325387,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 60.349981,
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          5.225333,
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          5.528286,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.09,
        "volume": 467398,
        "typical_volume": 290281.55,
        "trend": 5.769667,
        "fair_value": 8.429954,
        "relative_strength": -29.786726,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.057308,
        "energy": 61.794777,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.148,
          5.324727,
          5.483095,
          5.565484
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.15,
        "volume": 1161163,
        "typical_volume": 328743.15,
        "trend": 5.706,
        "fair_value": 8.391011,
        "relative_strength": -30.139352,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.768946,
        "energy": 53.771294,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.274,
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          5.525505
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}