{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec2a53a7-e630-4a76-b825-b42cda0f8cae", "symbol": "REPL", "name": "Rudrabhishek Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.21, "architecture_energy": 42.588, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.574, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.47, "rotation_up": 27.34, "upward_expansion": 6.38, "deceleration": 59.58, "rotation_down": 43.93, "downward_expansion": 77.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.714666, 65.959272, 68.938571, 71.867011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 67.389999, "trend_reference": 77.758667, "distance_from_trend": -0.133344, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 169.244102, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.601818, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.112351, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.305329, "excess_performance": -0.26162, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133344, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200211, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.601818, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033238, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.341124, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056015, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.305329, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.412165, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13536, "relative_activity": 0.271825, "balance": 0.412165, "dry_up": 0.405569, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078065, "annualized_volatility": 0.545268, "from_high_reference": -0.631346, "from_low_reference": 0.123167 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.758667, "fair_value_reference": 169.244102, "structural_low": 60.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.033009, "positive_rate": 0.305556, "directional_follow_through": 0.694444, "median_excess_return": -0.039378, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.317531, "worst_return": -0.304681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.056621, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.125738, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.18842, "worst_return": -0.328479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.14922, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.195083, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.177977, "worst_return": -0.428571, 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74.856301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.43, "volume": 38677, "typical_volume": 78193.2, "trend": 81.049333, "fair_value": 170.768846, "relative_strength": -36.241454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.372398, "energy": 64.818972, "activity_lines": [ 65.288666, 66.630908, 70.088857, 73.733312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.950001, "volume": 16918, "typical_volume": 73556.6, "trend": 79.218333, "fair_value": 169.961795, "relative_strength": -38.090006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.225879, "energy": 54.228515, "activity_lines": [ 64.867999, 65.900727, 69.334904, 72.630129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.389999, "volume": 13536, "typical_volume": 49796.7, "trend": 77.758667, "fair_value": 169.244102, "relative_strength": -34.112351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.209515, "energy": 42.587768, "activity_lines": [ 65.714666, 65.959272, 68.938571, 71.867011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }