{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec38081d-c577-4dbc-8f14-b4fa73cadf10",
    "symbol": "BOR",
    "name": "Borgestad ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -48.118,
    "architecture_energy": 35.531,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.613,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.55,
        "rotation_up": 18.26,
        "upward_expansion": 7.72,
        "deceleration": 41.23,
        "rotation_down": 50.85,
        "downward_expansion": 76.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.193333,
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        16.327619,
        16.450289
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.15,
    "trend_reference": 16.695368,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.032666,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 15.596351,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035499,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.30684,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.077288,
    "excess_performance": -0.202282,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032666,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024244,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035499,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030401,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.163068,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017997,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077288,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.198618,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8600,
      "relative_activity": 0.328695,
      "balance": 0.198618,
      "dry_up": 0.910666,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0412,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.246235,
      "from_high_reference": -0.197642,
      "from_low_reference": 0.076667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.695368,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.596351,
      "structural_low": 15.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.025453,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024954,
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        "best_return": 0.260223,
        "worst_return": -0.683594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.676768,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.771717,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 39.014942,
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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        "energy": 18.943402,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -10.575958,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 28591.0,
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        "fair_value": 15.567322,
        "relative_strength": -13.496819,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 14.137331,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 7523,
        "typical_volume": 27510.3,
        "trend": 16.910055,
        "fair_value": 15.57522,
        "relative_strength": -15.017832,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.901081,
        "energy": 14.31217,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.496667,
          16.41,
          16.406667,
          16.581551
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.0,
        "volume": 56757,
        "typical_volume": 28068.2,
        "trend": 16.827551,
        "fair_value": 15.580233,
        "relative_strength": -17.709513,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.437359,
        "energy": 20.936925,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.34,
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          16.360953,
          16.522837
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 22427,
        "typical_volume": 27412.55,
        "trend": 16.746943,
        "fair_value": 15.587168,
        "relative_strength": -15.880022,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.636494,
        "energy": 25.889781,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.29,
          16.35,
          16.350238,
          16.488802
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.15,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 26164.1,
        "trend": 16.695368,
        "fair_value": 15.596351,
        "relative_strength": -16.30684,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.117929,
        "energy": 35.530544,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.193333,
          16.315455,
          16.327619,
          16.450289
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}