{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec454b8c-94c2-4ed6-abef-5d3396c5478a", "symbol": "FOOD", "name": "Goodfood Market Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -88.466, "architecture_energy": 95.842, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.214, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 8.01, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 89.13, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.057, 0.103, 0.150619, 0.172968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.03, "trend_reference": 0.205167, "distance_from_trend": -0.853777, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.280224, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.892943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -88.79297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.894737, "excess_performance": -1.015158, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.853777, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190664, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.892943, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.642865, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.88793, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.765375, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.894737, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.044146, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3389100, "relative_activity": 2.289167, "balance": 0.044146, "dry_up": 3.549877, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.038462, "annualized_volatility": 2.040506, "from_high_reference": -0.921053, "from_low_reference": 0.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.205167, "fair_value_reference": 0.280224, "structural_low": 0.025, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.073171, "positive_rate": 0.432432, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.042605, "regime_survival": 0.864865, "best_return": 0.689655, "worst_return": -0.645055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.050556, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.111919, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.78125, "worst_return": -0.716814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.309259, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.317102, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.714286, "worst_return": -0.687097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097222, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.34375, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.028571, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.588235, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.134328, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116667, 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[ 0.162667, 0.182, 0.19669, 0.210172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.035, "volume": 15572900, "typical_volume": 1291575.0, "trend": 0.2255, "fair_value": 0.285705, "relative_strength": -86.919618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.656508, "energy": 97.707225, "activity_lines": [ 0.117667, 0.152091, 0.1805, 0.197226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.035, "volume": 1557200, "typical_volume": 1360010.0, "trend": 0.2155, "fair_value": 0.282917, "relative_strength": -86.68088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.738763, "energy": 97.722466, "activity_lines": [ 0.083333, 0.126182, 0.16531, 0.184935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.03, "volume": 3389100, "typical_volume": 1480495.0, "trend": 0.205167, "fair_value": 0.280224, "relative_strength": -88.79297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.465537, "energy": 95.841752, "activity_lines": [ 0.057, 0.103, 0.150619, 0.172968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }