{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec49d220-e62f-4c80-b151-b1d1569a7d27",
    "symbol": "603618",
    "name": "Hangzhou Cable Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 80.222,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.279,
    "architecture_energy": 40.47,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.166,
    "architecture_confidence": 40.539,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.13,
        "rotation_up": 16.68,
        "upward_expansion": 20.89,
        "deceleration": 67.17,
        "rotation_down": 66.73,
        "downward_expansion": 43.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.182666,
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        35.418666,
        32.70514
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 27.65,
    "trend_reference": 27.564,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.00312,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.138223,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.727303,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 45.304894,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 2.058628,
    "excess_performance": 2.101832,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00312,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.538227,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.727303,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -2.294023,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.453049,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.61948,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.058628,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.822225,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 461501975,
      "relative_activity": 1.403683,
      "balance": 0.822225,
      "dry_up": 1.099439,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.277674,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.21642,
      "from_high_reference": -0.514912,
      "from_low_reference": 3.234303
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.564,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.138223,
      "structural_low": 9.94,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.017713,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009976,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.630202,
        "worst_return": -0.118681,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.097772,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01911,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.594505,
        "worst_return": -0.172367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.192194,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106497,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 3.453846,
        "worst_return": -0.126699,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.205468,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.130014,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.685254,
        "worst_return": -0.274319,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.180803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.095331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.081264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.009804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043719,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.18838,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 333645571.6,
        "trend": 26.444667,
        "fair_value": 9.893806,
        "relative_strength": 38.81343,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 1.314417,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.389999,
        "volume": 320732263,
        "typical_volume": 323552275.6,
        "trend": 26.911,
        "fair_value": 9.998434,
        "relative_strength": 23.507146,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -15.286428,
        "energy": 36.545035,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.575333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.65,
        "volume": 461501975,
        "typical_volume": 328779458.85,
        "trend": 27.564,
        "fair_value": 10.138223,
        "relative_strength": 45.304894,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.279394,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}