{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec58c324-14cf-4c51-a8a4-f87b7e5a415d", "symbol": "002055", "name": "Shenzhen Deren Electronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.277, "architecture_energy": 52.296, "architecture_maturity": 8.887, "architecture_confidence": 80.586, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.64, "rotation_up": 14.48, "upward_expansion": 14.44, "deceleration": 34.41, "rotation_down": 63.88, "downward_expansion": 80.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.510667, 5.830182, 6.064905, 6.084968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.57, "trend_reference": 6.094667, "distance_from_trend": -0.086086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.061538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.412434, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.052721, "excess_performance": -0.060121, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051758, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.21122, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051416, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.194124, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076378, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.052721, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.421638, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55151800, "relative_activity": 0.63709, "balance": 1.421638, "dry_up": 0.818785, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163099, "annualized_volatility": 0.613211, "from_high_reference": -0.372748, "from_low_reference": 0.162839 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.094667, "fair_value_reference": 7.061538, "structural_low": 4.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.067381, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.37037, "median_excess_return": 0.025053, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.360934, "worst_return": -0.207063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.075441, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.094234, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.570328, "worst_return": -0.199599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.05887, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.020049, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.341894, "worst_return": -0.167671, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.23, "volume": 58927900, "typical_volume": 89157003.55, "trend": 6.133667, "fair_value": 7.088013, "relative_strength": -21.084612, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.775968, "energy": 49.996336, "activity_lines": [ 5.632667, 5.942909, 6.11519, 6.121333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.57, "volume": 55151800, "typical_volume": 86568315.25, "trend": 6.094667, "fair_value": 7.061538, "relative_strength": -19.412434, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.276726, "energy": 52.295923, "activity_lines": [ 5.510667, 5.830182, 6.064905, 6.084968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }