{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec70ab65-38d8-4232-9c54-70cbc33a392d",
    "symbol": "FISI",
    "name": "Financial Institutions Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.21,
    "architecture_energy": 76.022,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.348,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.339,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 76.64,
        "upward_expansion": 93.61,
        "deceleration": 45.22,
        "rotation_down": 15.25,
        "downward_expansion": 15.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.896,
        39.971624,
        38.16181,
        36.655597
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 41.65,
    "trend_reference": 34.945593,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.191853,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.405622,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.706574,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.55533,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.207911,
    "excess_performance": 0.020457,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191853,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094892,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.706574,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142489,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145553,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123746,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.207911,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.973507,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 818185,
      "relative_activity": 1.197433,
      "balance": 3.973507,
      "dry_up": 1.14471,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047305,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218044,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030719,
      "from_low_reference": 0.754079
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.945593,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.405622,
      "structural_low": 28.907545,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.014193,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015538,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.168677,
        "worst_return": -0.177351,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.028784,
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        "worst_return": -0.103907,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.031869,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.140535,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 667951.95,
        "trend": 33.903685,
        "fair_value": 23.938037,
        "relative_strength": 14.545661,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.226704,
        "energy": 70.127745,
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          35.298801
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.62,
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        "typical_volume": 675718.15,
        "trend": 34.211348,
        "fair_value": 24.090197,
        "relative_strength": 19.554004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.480626,
        "energy": 66.997,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.593333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.46,
        "volume": 883253,
        "typical_volume": 688550.45,
        "trend": 34.584626,
        "fair_value": 24.245152,
        "relative_strength": 20.57131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.311188,
        "energy": 73.216484,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.297333,
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          36.199767
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.65,
        "volume": 818185,
        "typical_volume": 683282.4,
        "trend": 34.945593,
        "fair_value": 24.405622,
        "relative_strength": 14.55533,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.210176,
        "energy": 76.021554,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.896,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}