{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec78d3a3-ffe4-4293-b1b2-2c609b53d38e", "symbol": "EA", "name": "Electronic Arts Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 79.247, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.997, "architecture_energy": 90.396, "architecture_maturity": 10.637, "architecture_confidence": 64.858, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.24, "rotation_up": 85.14, "upward_expansion": 99.96, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 8.24, "downward_expansion": 21.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 209.288667, 207.673091, 205.401455, 204.201439 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 209.7, "trend_reference": 203.008924, "distance_from_trend": 0.03296, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 158.795885, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320563, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.754975, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05048, "excess_performance": -0.136974, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03296, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006301, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320563, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005634, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07755, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020883, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.534901, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53184079, "relative_activity": 4.383905, "balance": 1.534901, "dry_up": 1.9955, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008806, "annualized_volatility": 0.043842, "from_high_reference": -0.002379, "from_low_reference": 0.278373 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 203.008924, "fair_value_reference": 158.795885, "structural_low": 196.823651, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.006312, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.011842, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.124455, "worst_return": -0.124064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.003026, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.067595, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.293113, "worst_return": -0.184663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.005987, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.139088, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.318313, "worst_return": -0.172144, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 202.614925, "fair_value": 157.652421, "relative_strength": -2.703624, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.673116, "energy": 92.311861, "activity_lines": [ 207.72, 205.945453, 204.176841, 203.289462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 209.86, "volume": 18952114, "typical_volume": 10077776.0, "trend": 202.809434, "fair_value": 158.223434, "relative_strength": -2.992823, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.09712, "energy": 93.014304, "activity_lines": [ 208.684667, 206.906364, 204.822502, 203.756887 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 209.7, "volume": 53184079, "typical_volume": 12131667.25, "trend": 203.008924, "fair_value": 158.795885, "relative_strength": -7.754975, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.99674, "energy": 90.396165, "activity_lines": [ 209.288667, 207.673091, 205.401455, 204.201439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }