{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ec7c1b30-c0e5-45ea-83eb-e3763df81417",
    "symbol": "CGNX",
    "name": "Cognex Corporation",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 46.672,
    "architecture_energy": 25.298,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.283,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.394,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.81,
        "rotation_up": 38.41,
        "upward_expansion": 61.85,
        "deceleration": 81.88,
        "rotation_down": 25.94,
        "downward_expansion": 18.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.1,
        65.333273,
        64.057403,
        61.192592
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 66.89,
    "trend_reference": 56.790226,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.177844,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.977729,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.593464,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 17.794067,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.583226,
    "excess_performance": 0.395773,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177844,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193909,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.593464,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007106,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177941,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124774,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.583226,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.278002,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13480881,
      "relative_activity": 1.279535,
      "balance": 1.278002,
      "dry_up": 0.946198,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.096124,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.580077,
      "from_high_reference": -0.08219,
      "from_low_reference": 0.938766
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.790226,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.977729,
      "structural_low": 41.916021,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.087825,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013478,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.409205,
        "worst_return": -0.106558,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.081416,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.380713,
        "worst_return": -0.253996,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.216883,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033788,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.678423,
        "worst_return": -0.244658,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.201147,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.439454,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.201147,
        "worst_return": -0.201147,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.242837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.138972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.255606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027568,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042166,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.125184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.128737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10553227.95,
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        "fair_value": 41.686823,
        "relative_strength": 19.495527,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.05,
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        "typical_volume": 10471507.9,
        "trend": 54.910007,
        "fair_value": 41.746022,
        "relative_strength": 16.711553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 43.816552,
        "energy": 29.029787,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 10384741.7,
        "trend": 55.857184,
        "fair_value": 41.854927,
        "relative_strength": 21.38011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.752999,
        "energy": 23.919231,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.534,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.89,
        "volume": 13480881,
        "typical_volume": 10535762.2,
        "trend": 56.790226,
        "fair_value": 41.977729,
        "relative_strength": 17.794067,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.6718,
        "energy": 25.297628,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}