{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ec97f410-ed97-448c-bb30-ae95a594e8b1", "symbol": "603226", "name": "Vohringer Home Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.462, "architecture_energy": 22.58, "architecture_maturity": 76.466, "architecture_confidence": 95.734, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.34, "rotation_up": 21.51, "upward_expansion": 53.53, "deceleration": 91.11, "rotation_down": 40.56, "downward_expansion": 21.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.273333, 48.241091, 48.107619, 45.48043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 49.389999, "trend_reference": 41.388667, "distance_from_trend": 0.193322, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.518462, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.989988, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 30.909806, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.737249, "excess_performance": 0.780453, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.193322, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126928, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.989988, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.61648, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.309098, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204861, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.737249, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.768436, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12657488, "relative_activity": 0.756237, "balance": 1.768436, "dry_up": 1.126795, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138599, "annualized_volatility": 0.540961, "from_high_reference": -0.183636, "from_low_reference": 1.905294 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.388667, "fair_value_reference": 16.518462, "structural_low": 27.33, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.013699, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.033407, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.191011, "worst_return": -0.165975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.085804, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.090815, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.110754, "worst_return": -0.19917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.179104, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.267755, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.640562, "worst_return": -0.315353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.086345, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.191336, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.187801, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 4.165768, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.227026, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-06", 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41.369816, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.838427, "energy": 49.42191, "activity_lines": [ 52.599332, 52.190545, 48.025095, 44.207226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.549999, "volume": 13789003, "typical_volume": 18629135.75, "trend": 39.858333, "fair_value": 15.733654, "relative_strength": 20.720568, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.293177, "energy": 18.495121, "activity_lines": [ 48.581332, 50.446908, 47.778619, 44.332452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.400002, "volume": 28516524, "typical_volume": 18453061.0, "trend": 40.341667, "fair_value": 15.984231, "relative_strength": 25.222625, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.088992, "energy": 22.570811, "activity_lines": [ 46.468, 49.306, 47.757238, 44.625462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.0, "volume": 20475718, "typical_volume": 18019475.8, "trend": 40.796333, "fair_value": 16.237756, "relative_strength": 24.513324, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.762958, "energy": 22.025498, "activity_lines": [ 45.396667, 48.327818, 47.737667, 44.926 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.389999, "volume": 12657488, "typical_volume": 16737456.8, "trend": 41.388667, "fair_value": 16.518462, "relative_strength": 30.909806, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.462019, "energy": 22.580193, "activity_lines": [ 46.273333, 48.241091, 48.107619, 45.48043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }