{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ecb92697-3d67-435a-80ad-cd13bf5c3974",
    "symbol": "FET",
    "name": "Forum Energy Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.931,
    "architecture_energy": 78.303,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.159,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.57,
        "rotation_up": 77.51,
        "upward_expansion": 85.55,
        "deceleration": 48.64,
        "rotation_down": 10.76,
        "downward_expansion": 16.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.330667,
        57.865091,
        56.027952,
        55.873527
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 74.23,
    "trend_reference": 54.570333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.360263,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.154872,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.733579,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 51.170015,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.547103,
    "excess_performance": 0.421478,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.360263,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1465,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.733579,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.556113,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.5117,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128295,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.547103,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.035643,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1730490,
      "relative_activity": 2.019001,
      "balance": 2.035643,
      "dry_up": 1.19571,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086682,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.519915,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042316,
      "from_low_reference": 2.503067
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.570333,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.154872,
      "structural_low": 46.19,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.000719,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007171,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.326456,
        "worst_return": -0.247076,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.025348,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002901,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.563341,
        "worst_return": -0.223122,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.197269,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.112786,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 1.352033,
        "worst_return": -0.256255,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.079075,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.10072,
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        "best_return": 2.165208,
        "worst_return": -0.19558,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2023-04-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.128588,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-06-30",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "fair_value": 24.222436,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1007735.4,
        "trend": 45.943333,
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        "relative_strength": 42.296942,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1019029.95,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 1022300.25,
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        "relative_strength": 21.723962,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 997590.05,
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        "fair_value": 25.935769,
        "relative_strength": 18.86435,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 966430.55,
        "trend": 50.831667,
        "fair_value": 26.070449,
        "relative_strength": 6.868217,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 924715.7,
        "trend": 51.336333,
        "fair_value": 26.22891,
        "relative_strength": 10.315521,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.927978,
        "energy": 28.808736,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.608667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.44,
        "volume": 582648,
        "typical_volume": 847517.15,
        "trend": 51.895,
        "fair_value": 26.401987,
        "relative_strength": 16.826439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.837812,
        "energy": 22.662462,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.305333,
          50.88,
          53.204714,
          53.495849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.86,
        "volume": 774563,
        "typical_volume": 829733.7,
        "trend": 52.598667,
        "fair_value": 26.600128,
        "relative_strength": 27.748797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.559651,
        "energy": 6.474299,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.843333,
          51.976545,
          53.488905,
          53.880688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 62.67,
        "volume": 1011683,
        "typical_volume": 829009.05,
        "trend": 53.412333,
        "fair_value": 26.840321,
        "relative_strength": 34.588119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.512944,
        "energy": 33.182308,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.562,
          53.920545,
          54.227905,
          54.530452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 74.23,
        "volume": 1730490,
        "typical_volume": 857102.3,
        "trend": 54.570333,
        "fair_value": 27.154872,
        "relative_strength": 51.170015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.930943,
        "energy": 78.302677,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.330667,
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          56.027952,
          55.873527
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}