{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ecbb59b4-046e-425d-bbcc-f9d8794d4313", "symbol": "603077", "name": "Sichuan Hebang Biotechnology Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 53.475, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.96, "architecture_energy": 34.078, "architecture_maturity": 45.253, "architecture_confidence": 78.388, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.95, "rotation_up": 26.5, "upward_expansion": 17.08, "deceleration": 45.32, "rotation_down": 38.15, "downward_expansion": 67.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.337333, 2.318909, 2.438667, 2.535247 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.41, "trend_reference": 2.597, "distance_from_trend": -0.072006, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.156978, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.554986, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047431, "excess_performance": -0.004227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072006, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.117304, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218033, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01555, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170271, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047431, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.939051, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 716358796, "relative_activity": 0.838012, "balance": 0.939051, "dry_up": 1.0381, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07437, "annualized_volatility": 0.513349, "from_high_reference": -0.319209, "from_low_reference": 0.309783 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.597, "fair_value_reference": 2.156978, "structural_low": 2.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.004255, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.010365, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.3, "worst_return": -0.144279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.007556, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.022752, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.264012, "worst_return": -0.194529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.070793, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.045888, "worst_return": -0.168776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 2.25, "volume": 1169043511, "typical_volume": 1132787040.65, "trend": 2.588667, "fair_value": 2.159068, "relative_strength": 0.025407, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.573286, "energy": 69.646682, "activity_lines": [ 2.254667, 2.321273, 2.516905, 2.580452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.29, "volume": 946893504, "typical_volume": 1051748110.4, "trend": 2.59, "fair_value": 2.158578, "relative_strength": 0.165122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.354666, "energy": 67.212658, "activity_lines": [ 2.26, 2.301818, 2.481095, 2.561183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.37, "volume": 717303322, "typical_volume": 926548173.9, "trend": 2.592, "fair_value": 2.158284, "relative_strength": 2.96204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.366124, "energy": 49.96786, "activity_lines": [ 2.294, 2.304364, 2.45581, 2.546989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.41, "volume": 716358796, "typical_volume": 854830797.4, "trend": 2.597, "fair_value": 2.156978, "relative_strength": 1.554986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.960296, "energy": 34.077652, "activity_lines": [ 2.337333, 2.318909, 2.438667, 2.535247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }