{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ecbe7233-252f-45c5-b797-86252130d56d",
    "symbol": "DRFG",
    "name": "Desjardins RI Global Multifactor Fossil Fuel Reserves Free ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.722,
    "architecture_energy": 62.194,
    "architecture_maturity": 90.681,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.768,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.17,
        "rotation_up": 50.47,
        "upward_expansion": 77.64,
        "deceleration": 71.36,
        "rotation_down": 29.28,
        "downward_expansion": 15.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.044667,
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        43.113347,
        42.054953
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 44.830002,
    "trend_reference": 40.846829,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.097515,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.602848,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.418543,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.114529,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.147999,
    "excess_performance": 0.027577,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097515,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051439,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.418543,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021685,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021145,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003844,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147999,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.332296,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5326,
      "relative_activity": 1.196168,
      "balance": 1.332296,
      "dry_up": 1.328901,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021726,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.147228,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013207,
      "from_low_reference": 0.305682
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.846829,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.602848,
      "structural_low": 36.352962,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.010484,
        "positive_rate": 0.577778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.577778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000634,
        "regime_survival": 0.822222,
        "best_return": 0.070084,
        "worst_return": -0.071066,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.033788,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004547,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.129379,
        "worst_return": -0.06198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.084003,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018773,
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        "worst_return": -0.166889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "best_return": 0.315787,
        "worst_return": -0.10734,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012226,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -1.591268,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.367946,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 39.206472,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.98249,
        "energy": 87.064778,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.579929
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4303.65,
        "trend": 39.90965,
        "fair_value": 30.940593,
        "relative_strength": 4.593808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 6179,
        "typical_volume": 4322.9,
        "trend": 40.125309,
        "fair_value": 31.075448,
        "relative_strength": 3.307299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.716309,
        "energy": 85.441604,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.32,
        "volume": 5877,
        "typical_volume": 4293.7,
        "trend": 40.302429,
        "fair_value": 31.203741,
        "relative_strength": 1.770292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.861783,
        "energy": 73.028183,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.888367,
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          42.321222,
          41.362943
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.509998,
        "volume": 8725,
        "typical_volume": 4465.85,
        "trend": 40.479271,
        "fair_value": 31.33246,
        "relative_strength": 1.942842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.081559,
        "energy": 61.741865,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.724666,
          43.596734,
          42.562733,
          41.569883
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.830002,
        "volume": 3740,
        "typical_volume": 4412.8,
        "trend": 40.662144,
        "fair_value": 31.464083,
        "relative_strength": 3.108036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.560429,
        "energy": 55.002894,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.714,
          43.694491,
          42.806422,
          41.786059
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.830002,
        "volume": 5326,
        "typical_volume": 4452.55,
        "trend": 40.846829,
        "fair_value": 31.602848,
        "relative_strength": 2.114529,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.722265,
        "energy": 62.194478,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.044667,
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          43.113347,
          42.054953
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}