{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "eccc7121-c6b6-4de1-b90a-20946ab67d9b",
    "symbol": "MADHAV",
    "name": "Madhav Marbles and Granites Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.458,
    "architecture_energy": 54.923,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.623,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.245,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.21,
        "rotation_up": 10.84,
        "upward_expansion": 11.2,
        "deceleration": 38.3,
        "rotation_down": 69.63,
        "downward_expansion": 89.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.575333,
        35.384727,
        36.176857,
        36.205032
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 34.34,
    "trend_reference": 36.446333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.057793,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 46.16282,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.256111,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.642346,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.070133,
    "excess_performance": -0.026424,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057793,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044949,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256111,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088634,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116423,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084178,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070133,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.048957,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14112,
      "relative_activity": 0.50508,
      "balance": 1.048957,
      "dry_up": 0.613132,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082008,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.35085,
      "from_high_reference": -0.312513,
      "from_low_reference": 0.184138
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.446333,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.16282,
      "structural_low": 29.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.001594,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00203,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.221773,
        "worst_return": -0.116273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.041905,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03311,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.121156,
        "worst_return": -0.080135,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.042199,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040365,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.220809,
        "worst_return": -0.089216,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.080139,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.130599,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.136314,
        "worst_return": -0.130403,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.246892,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.11271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.163468,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.178926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.309396,
        "energy": 14.212124,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.2,
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          36.321334,
          37.507118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 39.279999,
        "volume": 49088,
        "typical_volume": 50780.45,
        "trend": 38.971667,
        "fair_value": 46.745961,
        "relative_strength": -1.663774,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.194519,
        "energy": 16.952116,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.747999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 38.900002,
        "volume": 14729,
        "typical_volume": 50653.25,
        "trend": 38.850333,
        "fair_value": 46.725449,
        "relative_strength": -3.224575,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -6.891257,
        "energy": 15.922402,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.530667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 37.509998,
        "volume": 24748,
        "typical_volume": 50990.55,
        "trend": 38.648333,
        "fair_value": 46.701474,
        "relative_strength": -4.363852,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.249668,
        "energy": 14.847556,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.4,
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          36.644,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 35.779999,
        "volume": 16897,
        "typical_volume": 50171.2,
        "trend": 38.374333,
        "fair_value": 46.664167,
        "relative_strength": -8.803349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.570329,
        "energy": 11.610387,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.539333,
          36.945636,
          36.516809,
          37.239936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.5,
        "volume": 13419,
        "typical_volume": 49574.05,
        "trend": 38.161667,
        "fair_value": 46.633397,
        "relative_strength": -5.908334,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 9.649974,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.015333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 37.779999,
        "volume": 4255,
        "typical_volume": 48762.7,
        "trend": 38.079,
        "fair_value": 46.600577,
        "relative_strength": -1.421701,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.480005,
        "energy": 11.082874,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.077333,
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          36.60419,
          37.094387
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.779999,
        "volume": 1140,
        "typical_volume": 43695.45,
        "trend": 38.000333,
        "fair_value": 46.558141,
        "relative_strength": -2.187039,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 10.741341,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 38.98,
        "volume": 6327,
        "typical_volume": 42575.55,
        "trend": 37.941,
        "fair_value": 46.530449,
        "relative_strength": -0.349275,
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        "energy": 6.802356,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 41542.95,
        "trend": 37.723,
        "fair_value": 46.484295,
        "relative_strength": -6.483214,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.443655,
        "energy": 11.390216,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.588,
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          37.045333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.990002,
        "volume": 3591,
        "typical_volume": 31830.25,
        "trend": 37.528667,
        "fair_value": 46.441603,
        "relative_strength": -8.25399,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 11.582541,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.082,
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          36.879952,
          36.933527
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.299999,
        "volume": 66479,
        "typical_volume": 33129.8,
        "trend": 37.363667,
        "fair_value": 46.400577,
        "relative_strength": -6.874047,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.085176,
        "energy": 10.925356,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.713333,
          36.992909,
          36.855476,
          36.854258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.029999,
        "volume": 16219,
        "typical_volume": 33191.4,
        "trend": 37.148,
        "fair_value": 46.350449,
        "relative_strength": -10.224484,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.628066,
        "energy": 24.77794,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.02,
          36.598,
          36.716809,
          36.703699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.790001,
        "volume": 24113,
        "typical_volume": 30779.5,
        "trend": 36.891333,
        "fair_value": 46.293654,
        "relative_strength": -10.901224,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.348786,
        "energy": 47.030259,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.096667,
          36.048,
          36.477286,
          36.487054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.799999,
        "volume": 14080,
        "typical_volume": 29957.3,
        "trend": 36.62,
        "fair_value": 46.230513,
        "relative_strength": -10.152073,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.498543,
        "energy": 51.195396,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.856,
          35.749273,
          36.346285,
          36.352129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.34,
        "volume": 14112,
        "typical_volume": 27940.15,
        "trend": 36.446333,
        "fair_value": 46.16282,
        "relative_strength": -11.642346,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.457688,
        "energy": 54.922886,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.575333,
          35.384727,
          36.176857,
          36.205032
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}